All Reports and Signal Pages
(most recent at top)
Market/ETF Video – Large-cap Techs Lift S&P 500, Small-caps Weigh on Breadth, Defensive Groups in Downswings (Premium)
The technical picture shows a split market and the fundamental picture is also split. Large-cap techs are leading and the 5-day SMA crossed above the 200-day SMA for the S&P 500. However, small-caps remain weak and the Composite Breadth Model is at -3. The Fed came to
Market and ETF Report – Big Swings and Rotations within the Market, Big Tech Leads, Defensives Lag with Downswings (Premium)
The market went through some serious rotations over the last few months. The Finance sector led the market off the October low and then fell apart over the last four weeks. Healthcare and the defensive groups led the market from early October to
A Risk-off Alternative Turns Up as Stocks Falter (Free)
Sometimes markets trend, sometimes they oscillate and sometimes they simply frustrate. I would venture to guess that trading since 2022 falls into the frustration basket. Trend following and momentum strategies are suffering because big moves
ETF-Strategy: Trend & StochClose Strategy for All Weather ETFs – UPDATES (Premium)
This report updates the strategy that trades the 50 All-Weather ETFs using the Trend Composite for trend status and StochClose for price rank. I am updating this strategy because the Composite Breadth Model turned
Market/ETF Video – CBM Turns Negative, Yields Spreads Widen, Bonds Rise as Safe Haven Trade, Tech ETFs Show Relative Strength, but… (Premium)
The weight of the evidence is bearish for stocks. The Composite Breadth Model turned negative on Monday, yield spreads widened significantly over the past week and SPY broke wedge support. Risk for stocks and stock-based ETFs is above average right
Market and ETF Report – CBM Turns Negative, Tech Related ETFs Show Relative Strength, Leaders Take a Hit (Premium)
Recent events in the banking world jolted stocks. This jolt was enough to push the Composite Breadth Model into negative territory and widen yield spreads. The Regional Bank
Trend Signals and Trailing Stops Examples using XLF and SOXX (Free)
Chartists considering a trend-following strategy can use the Trend Composite to identify trend signals and then turn to the ATR Trailing Stop for an exit strategy. A bearish Trend Composite signal could also be used as an exit strategy, but these signals
Market/ETF Video – SPY Tests Breakout, TLT Firms After Testimony, Tech ETFs in Pullback Mode, Small-caps and Retail Lagging (Premium)
Stocks fell sharply on Tuesday as the market reacted to testimony from Fed Chairman Powell. The Dollar surged and gold fell, but the 20+ Yr Treasury Bond ETF actually advanced on the day. Based on
Market and ETF Report – SPY Surges off 200-day, Short-term Breakouts Trigger, Small-caps, Retail and Region Banks Lag (Premium)
The S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) fell back to its 200-day SMA in February and then surged with a sharp advance the last few days. This advance triggered breakouts in several ETFs that were featured in last week’s report and video. Today’s report will update these charts and set the
The Trend Composite and StochClose Rank Strategy for trading the All Weather ETFs in Bull and Bear Markets (Update – Part 12)
This report is an update for the Trend Composite and StochClose Rank Strategy that trades ETFs in the All-Weather List during bull and bear markets. Examining recent performance and signals can
Find the Strongest Price Charts with the StochClose Rank (Free)
Stocks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) trading at or near new highs lead with clear uptrends. These are the names you’d want on your ChartLists or portfolio. You can find leaders by checking the list of
Market/ETF Video – Defining the Uptrend in SPY, TLT Firms as Dollar Gets Extended, Watching February Pullbacks in Several ETFs (Premium)
Stocks corrected throughout February and many ETFs are setting up with pullback patterns taking shape. The S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) is testing its 200-day SMA after a pullback the last four weeks. QQQ broke
Market and ETF Report – Broad Selling Pressure hits Stock and Bonds in February, Monitoring Short-term Downtrends (Premium)
February has been a tough month for stocks and the vast majority of ETFs. The S&P 500 peaked on February 2nd and is down around 4.6% the last 16 days. All sector SPDRs are down over this period with
Should we Keep Paying Attention to Trend Signals after Whipsaws? (Free)
The stock market has been a tough place for trend-following since January 2022, which is when the S&P 500 first triggered a bearish trend signal. The bearish signal in question is the humble
Marketing Timing with the S&P 1500 Thrust Model – Update for CBM and 5/200 Cross for SPX (Premium)
Broad market timing is important because the state of the stock market is the single biggest influence on stocks and stock-based ETFs. The odds are in our favor during bull markets and stacked against us during bear markets.