All Reports and Signal Pages
(most recent at top)
ChartTrader – Seasonal Patterns and Oversold Conditions – Symbols: XLK, SOXX, HACK, PPA, TXT, USO, XES, SLB (Premium)
The weight of the evidence remains bearish for stocks. Over 75% of S&P 1500 stocks are below their 200-day SMAs and 52-week lows are outpacing 52-week highs by a wide margin. SPY (large-caps), MDY (mid-caps) and IWM (small-caps) are below their 200-day SMAs and in long-term downtrends. QQQ is still above its 200-day SMA, but
Looking Outside the Stock Market for Opportunities – with video (Free)
Correlations rise during bear markets. This means more stocks participate in broad market declines than broad market advances. In other words, the odds are stacked against us when picking stocks in bear markets. Traders are better off looking outside of the stock market for opportunities.
ChartTrader – Long-term Targets for the Perfect Storm in SPY, QQQ and IWM – Symbols: GLD, USO, XES, NGG2024, UNG and NKE.
We are taking a step back today with some weekly charts for a long-term perspective. It is not pretty because we are in a bear market and risk in stocks is well above average. SPY and QQQ recently reversed their upswings. This means the immediate
ChartTrader – Breadth Deteriorates as Spreads Widen – Symbols: SPY, RSP, QQQ, QQEW, MDY, IWM, XLK, SOXX, IGV, URA, PPA (Premium)
The weight of the evidence is bearish for stocks and deteriorating even further. Around 70% of S&P 500 stocks are below their 200-day SMAs. Some 26.4% of S&P 1500 stocks are above their 200-day SMAs, which means 73.5% are below.
ChartTrader – QQQ, XLK and SOXX Lead Lower – Symbols Covered: SPY, KIE, IHF, XLE, HACK, URA, GLD, PPA, LHX, TSLA, CRM (Premium)
The weight of the evidence remains bearish for stocks. 62% of S&P 500 stocks and 65% of S&P 1500 stocks are below their 200-day SMAs. The S&P 500 EW ETF, S&P MidCap 400 SPDR and Russell 2000 ETF are well below their 200-day SMAs and
Home Construction ETF Breaks and a Home Builder Sets up for Further Downside – with video (Free)
The Home Construction ETF (ITB) led the market the first seven months of the year, but fell on hard times the last two months and reversed its long-term uptrend. Today’s report/video will look at the trend reversal in ITB using the RSI Trend Range indicator
ChartTrader – Oversold Bounces for SPY and QQQ – Symbols Covered: XLK, XLC, IGV, SOXX, HACK, REGN, PAYX, MRCY, GE, TRIP, MAR
SPY and QQQ are holding up and still in uptrends. However, some 63% of stocks in the S&P 1500 are below their 200-day SMAs and in long-term downtrends. The small-cap and mid-cap index ETFs are trading well below their 200-day SMAs and near their spring lows. The weight of the evidence is bearish for stocks. SPY and QQQ are
Equal-weight Semis Break Down – Is SOXX Next? – with video (Free)
Today’s report will compare charts and performance for the Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) and the Semiconductor SPDR (XSD). SOXX represents large-caps and is holding up. XSD represents the average semiconductor stock and it is not
EBAY Cannot Hold a Bid – with Video (Free)
Despite a rough ride in September, the S&P 500 is still up 14% year-to-date and the Nasdaq 100 is up a whopping 40%. The gains here, however, do not tell the entire story because many stocks are
ChartTrader – Oversold Bounce within Bigger Downtrend – Symbols Covered: SPY, QQQ, UNG, FCG, FRE, FTNT, NTAP and ZTS (Premium)
The weight of the evidence remains bearish for stocks. SPY and QQQ are in downtrends the last two months, but they are getting oversold bounces after becoming oversold last week. Large-caps and large-cap techs are leading the market. In particular, software and
Trading the Swing within the Pattern: IGV Example – with video (Free)
Chartists looking to get the jump on a bigger breakout can turn to the swings within a developing pattern. For example, a Symmetrical Triangle after an advance is a bullish
ChartTrader – Oversold Bounce Underway, Symbols Covered: SPY, QQQ, RSP, IWM, IGV, XLC, HACK, DKNG, CSCO and MA. (Premium)
The weight of the evidence remains bearish for stocks. First, long-term breadth indicators are net bearish. Second, the S&P 500 EW ETF, Russell 2000 ETF and S&P SmallCap 600 are below their 200-day SMAs. These ETFs also fell back to their
A Key Momentum Indicator Shifts from Bullish to Bearish for QQQ – with video (Free)
QQQ remains well above the rising 200-day SMA, but clearly shifted from bullish to bearish over the last two months. Today’s report/video will show this momentum shift and analyze the short-term continuation pattern taking shape.
ChartTrader – Long-term Bearish and Short-term Oversold. Symbols: SPY, QQQ, USO, XLE, HACK, DD, EXPD, HPE, RL (Premium)
The S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) almost tagged its rising 200-day SMA after a sharp decline from early September to early October. SPY is short-term oversold, but the weight of the evidence is bearish. The Composite Breadth Model is at -1 and most stocks within the index
System Trader – CBM Turns Negative, Stock Strategies Affected, Market Timing Mechanisms Improve Long-term Performance (Premium)
The Composite Breadth Model (CBM) turned negative on Monday (-1) and the weight of the evidence is now bearish for stocks. This development means risk in stocks is above average. Strategies that trade stocks and stock-based ETFs perform poorly when risk is above average