Get System Trade and Chart Trader for the price of one.
These will become separate services in the future. Join now and you will always have access to both – for the price of one.
System Trader
Nasdaq 100 Momentum Rotation Strategy (weekly signals at end of week)
S&P 500 Momentum Rotation Strategy (weekly signals at end of week)
Russell 1000 Mean-Reversion Strategy (daily signals before market open)
System Trader offers rules-based trading strategies for stocks. These quantified strategies delivered double-digit returns in historical testing. Not only did these strategies significantly outperform buy-and-hold, but they did so with lower drawdowns.
The image below shows some basic performance metrics for these strategies from January 2007 until July 2023. The Compound Annual Returns were in the 13-15 range and the Maximum Drawdowns were in the 15 to 23 percent range. Drawdowns are unavoidable because there is no reward without risk.
The next images show the equity curves for these strategies (green lines). The blue lines show the equity curves for S&P 500 buy-and-hold. Notice that the strategy equity curves are consistently above the equity curves for buy-and-hold. The images show the Compound Annual Return in the upper left. We also show the five largest drawdowns and highlight these with the red arrows. Do not ignore drawdowns because they are part of the process.
A membership to System Trader includes the Composite Breadth Model (CBM) for market timing. The CBM identifies bull and bear markets by aggregating signals in 14 breadth indicators. CBM signals outperformed buy-and-hold with significantly lower drawdowns. The average drawdown for the CBM signals was -14.54%, while the average drawdown for S&P 500 buy-and-hold was more than double (30%).
Get System Trade and Chart Trader for the price of one.
These will become separate services in the future. Join now and you will always have access to both – for the price of one.
Chart Trader
Chart Trader analyzes broad market conditions, identifies leading groups and provides trading ideas. Trading setups and ideas focus on tradable pullbacks within bigger uptrends. The first step is finding stocks and ETFs in leading uptrends. The second step is identifying tradable pullbacks with good reward to risk ratios. Chart Trader includes:
Technical analysis and trading strategies for self-directed traders
Broad market analysis featuring breadth indicators, SPY and QQQ
Trading ideas, setups and patterns for stocks and ETFs
Analysis videos to explain ideas, methods and processes
We post reports and videos on Tuesdays and Thursdays before 8AM ET.
Get System Trade and Chart Trader for the price of one.
These will become separate services in the future. Subscribe now and you will always have access to both – for the price of one.
Testimonials
I have been a loyal follower and admirer of yours for years and I am slowly able to see/read charts more objectively .... and tune out the noise.
Paul U.
San Anselmo, CA
The work you do to keep us informed of the overall market direction is invaluable. It saves me tons of time and effort. Your reminders of the overall trend prevent me from overthinking and doing too much in the way of counter-trend trading.
Ben C.
Raleigh, NC
I have been reading/subscribing to you for over 15 years - and just want to say you do great work, and thank you.
Al F.
Colorado
I have always appreciated your work, especially now because your 9 breadth indicators gave clear & timely signals. You keep us on the right side of the trend with the benchmark highs & lows in the indexes & sectors. It’s all so clear and consistent.
Our time horizon is anywhere from a few weeks to several months. We are focused on the bigger trends at work and a few days is usually not enough to change our assessment.
Yes! We want to be involved in names that show persistent and consistent uptrends, and that have strong relative momentum. Investing in the leaders is a strategy that has proven itself over time.
The ETF signal and indicator tables are updated after every trading day (by 6AM ET). Each table includes a detailed article with screen shots showing how to use the table and track the signals. The report detailing the ETF strategy also covers the indicators and signals.
We track the performance for the quantified strategies and the Composite Breadth Model, but did not track performance for discretionary analysis and chart setups. See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use for more details.