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Chart Trader Weekly Report – Broad Market Analysis, Leading Groups (ETFs), Chart Setups and Trading Ideas (Premium)

Arthur Hill, CMT 13 September 2024 6:18 am

We are still in a bull market, but some risk-on groups are lagging and defensive groups are leading. Interest rate sensitive groups are leading. After hard hits in early September, tech names recovered this week with strong advances. We will put these into context and show key levels to watch (QQQ, XLK, MAGS, SOXX). The other four tech ETFs (IGV, CIBR, SKYY, FINX) are holding up better. This report also cover MSFT, META, QCOM, ARM, DELL, AVGO and NVDA.

Chart Trader Weekly Report – Broad Market Analysis, Leading Groups (ETFs), Chart Setups and Trading Ideas (Premium)

Arthur Hill, CMT 6 September 2024 6:19 am

Today’s report starts with the CBM and yield spread to define the broad market environment. Despite bull market conditions, odds are increasing for corrective period. We are seeing relative and absolute weakness in key groups, leadership in defensive groups and weak seasonal patterns. GLD and TLT remain strong, while Bitcoin remains weak. We finished with PODD and META.

It all Started with a Big Bang!

Arthur Hill, CMT 2 September 2024 9:36 am

Extended trends often start with big bangs and major breakouts. Chartists can identify “big bang” moves by showing price change in ATR terms. We can use the price charts to identify big breakouts. Today’s example will show

Defining the Stock Market with the Composite Breadth Model

Arthur Hill, CMT 30 August 2024 9:43 am

This page is for subscribers to Chart Trader. It starts with a chart showing the Composite Breadth Model and signals over the last few years. This model defines the environment for stocks: bull market or bear market. We then explain the methodology behind the model with indicator examples and charts.

ChartTrader Weekly Report – Market Analysis, Leading Groups (ETFs), Chart Setups and Trading Ideas (Premium)

Arthur Hill, CMT 30 August 2024 7:43 am

Today’s report starts with the CBM to define the market. We then address the recent market mood swing as volatility picked up, techs started lagging and defensive groups started leading. Cybersecurity and Fintech are leading within tech and we feature four stocks from these groups. Symbols Covered: XLU, XLP, XLV, XLK, SOXX, CYBR, IGV, FINX, XLRE, ITB, ITA, KIE, IBB, FAN, PBJ, PANW, CYBR, JKHY, PYPL

This Housing-Related Stock Just Printed a 5 for the Trend Composite

Arthur Hill, CMT 24 August 2024 7:01 am

The Home Construction ETF (ITB) is leading the market as it surged to a new closing high this week. While this high is certainly bullish and points to upside leadership, the real signal triggered back in early July as the Trend Composite turned bullish with an outsized move. Let’s review this signal and then look at a recent signal in

ChartTrader – Broad Breadth Model – SPX-NDX Breadth Model – Yield Spreads (Premium)

Arthur Hill, CMT 23 August 2024 8:42 am

This report covers the broad market environment and will be updated every Friday. We start with the breadth models to define the broad market environment (bull market or bear market). The first model covers the broader market, while the second model emphasizes the Nasdaq 100. And finally, we finish with yield spreads to assess conditions in the credit markets.

ChartTrader – Overbought Conditions – Price Surges – Volatility Spikes – SPY, QQQ & MAGS – Key Tech ETFs and Stocks (Premium)

Arthur Hill, CMT 23 August 2024 8:34 am

Today’s report starts with short-term overbought conditions, the 12 day surge and the increase in volatility. We then turn to the long-term trends for SPY, QQQ and MAGS. Several tech-related ETFs and tech stocks broke short-term resistance levels and we will set the key levels to watch going forward. Analysis covers SOXX, IGV, CIBR, NVDA, AVGO, AMAT, GOOGL, MSFT and more.

ChartTrader – Healthcare and Biotech Continue to Lead – Three Healthcare Stocks with Breakouts (Premium)

Arthur Hill, CMT 20 August 2024 9:08 am

This report starts with the leaders over the last ten days and the leaders based on 52-week highs. Large-cap tech stocks led the 10-day surge, but Healthcare, Consumer Staples and Biotech are leading on charts. We then analyze the Healthcare SPDR, Biotech ETF and three Healthcare stocks (CAH, INCY, ILMN)

ChartTrader – Healthcare Sector Leads – 3 Healthcare Breakouts – GOOGL, MSFT and Six Tech ETFs Test Key SMAs (Premium)

Arthur Hill, CMT 15 August 2024 8:49 am

This report starts with the Healthcare SPDR because it is one of the leading sectors right now. Also notice that the Consumer Staples SPDR, Utilities SPDR and Real Estate SPDR are also leading with new highs this week. Leadership from the defensive sectors points to some risk

ChartTrader – Nikkei Unwind – SPY/QQQ/MAGS Corrections – VIX – Symbols: NVDA, AVGO, GEHC, ABT (Premium)

Arthur Hill, CMT 13 August 2024 8:49 am

This report starts a long-term look at the Nikkei, which started breaking down in July. US stocks rebounded after sharp declines on August 5th, but they have yet to fully recover and remain in short-term downtrends. We will look at the corrections in SPY, QQQ and MAGS.

TLT Turns the Corner and Starts to Lead

Arthur Hill, CMT 9 August 2024 11:01 am

The 20+ Yr Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) is turning the corner as a long-term trend indicator turns bullish and price extends on a breakout. TLT is also starting to outperform the S&P 500 EW ETF (RSP), for the first time in a long time.

ChartTrader – VIX and Yield Spreads Surge – Correlations on Rise – A Canary for SPY – TLT Holds Breakout (Premium)

Arthur Hill, CMT 8 August 2024 8:32 am

Increasing uncertainty is causing the markets to reprice. SPY, QQQ and IWM hit new highs in July and were priced for the best of all worlds. We then got a shakeup in the presidential race, a weak jobs report and a route in the Nikkei. Markets do not like uncertainty and

ChartTrader – VIX Spike – NDX Breadth Deteriorates – Short-term Breadth Not Yet Oversold – SPY Downside Target (Premium)

Arthur Hill, CMT 6 August 2024 8:52 am

Selling pressure broadened over the last three days with the broader market (S&P 500 stocks) joining tech-related stocks (Nasdaq 100 stocks) in the sell off. The long-term trends are still up for SPY and QQQ. In addition, the Composite Breadth Model and the SPX-NDX Breadth model remain

This Breadth Indicator Points to More Downside – And a Potential Opportunity

Arthur Hill, CMT 2 August 2024 6:41 am

QQQ is leading the market lower and weighing on tech stocks. The long-term trend is up and oversold breadth could present an opportunity. Short-term breadth has yet to become oversold and this means we may have further downside first.