All Reports and Signal Pages
(most recent at top)
Market/ETF Video and Report – Participation Improves, Techs Consolidate, Industrials Lead, Two Reversals to Watch
The weight of the evidence remains bullish for stocks. The Composite Breadth Model is positive (since March 31st), yield spreads show no stress and upside participation continues to improve. The Retail SPDR is coming to life and the Home Construction ETF continues
Market/ETF Video and Report – Small-caps Lagging, Techs Extended, Healthcare and Staples Attempt Swing Reversals (Premium)
The weight of the evidence is bullish because the Composite Breadth Model is positive and the 5-day SMA for the S&P 500 is above the 200-day SMA. We are also seeing some risk-on with Nasdaq 100 stocks, technology and housing leading the market.
Market/ETF Video and Report – New Highs Expand, Several ETFs Consolidate with Bull Flags, Gold Falls Along with Dollar (Premium)
High-Low Percent is the percentage of stocks making 52-week highs less the percentage of stocks making 52-week lows. The chart below shows High-Low Percent for the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, S&P MidCap 400 and S&P SmallCap 600. This indicator turns bullish
Market/ETF Video and Report – New Highs Expand, Retail Surges, Techs Get Extended, Healthcare ETFs Set Up (Premium)
High-Low Percent is the percentage of stocks making 52-week highs less the percentage of stocks making 52-week lows. The chart below shows High-Low Percent for the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, S&P MidCap 400 and S&P SmallCap 600. This indicator turns bullish with a move above 10% and bearish with a move below -10%. The first indicator window
Stock-Strategy: Trend Momentum Profit Target Strategy for Nasdaq 100 Stocks (Premium)
Today’s report will test the Trend Composite & Normalized ROC Strategy on stocks. We will first review the testing parameters and signals for the strategy. I will then test on stocks in the S&P 500 and three other indexes. The overall returns are positive, but the
ETF-Strategy: Trend Rotation with eSlope and Normalized ROC (Premium)
Today’s article will show how Normalized ROC performs in a rotational trading strategy. This rotational strategy builds on the prior strategy by using the same indicators (Trend Composite, eSlope, Normalized ROC).
Market/ETF Video and Report – Breadth Improves, SPY Extends on Breakout, Several ETFs Surge and Trigger Breakouts
The percentage of stocks above the 200-day SMA increased for the S&P 500 and S&P MidCap 400. $SPX %Above 200-day SMA was below 40% last week and moved to 50%. $MID
ETF-Strategy: Trend Momentum Profit Target Strategy and Signal Table for Stock-Based ETFs (Premium)
This articles covers the indicators and signals for a trend-momentum strategy to trade stock-based ETFs. The Composite Breadth Model defines market conditions. The Trend Composite and eSlope120 are used for trend identification, and Normalized ROC delivers the momentum rank. We show performance metrics for this strategy and provide a signal table.
Market/ETF Video and Report – SPY and Breadth Diverge, QQQ Goes Parabolic, Mid-caps May hold the Key (Premium)
Large-cap techs are powering QQQ and the Technology sector, which in turn is powering SPY higher. The situation outside of large-cap tech is different because the S&P 500 EW ETF is actually down for the month. Despite underlying weakness in some breadth
Market/ETF Video and Report – SPY Tags Higher High, but Breadth Wanes, Big Techs Lead, Defensive ETFs Pull Back (Premium)
The S&P 500 and SPY exceeded their early February highs with surges last week, but breadth failed to confirm and remains a concern. Namely, we are watching the percentage of stocks above the 200, 50 and 20 day SMAs. Large-cap semis
Finding the Leaders with ATR Momentum (Free)
Chartists can find leaders by ranking ETF performance in ATR multiples, and there is even an indicator for that. Normalized-ROC puts point performance in ATR multiples and we can compare these values against others. Current Normalized-ROC
Market/ETF Video and Report – Narrowing Participation, QQQ Leads, EW SPX Under Performs, Watching Breakouts in SOXX and IGV (Premium)
Even though the Composite Breadth Model is bullish, the market is as split as ever. The Trend Composite is positive for SPY and QQQ, but negative for the S&P 500 EW ETF, S&P MidCap 400 SPDR and Russell 2000 ETF. Within the S&P 500, large-cap techs are leading and keeping SPY afloat. I am wary because
Stock-Strategy: Trend Momentum Profit Target Strategy for Russell 1000 Stocks (Premium)
We are making progress. After a big hiccup on Thursday, I reworked the strategy and will cover the basics in this article. Here are some of the changes. First, the strategy trades stocks in the Russell 1000 to capture more beta. Second, I tightened the volatility filter by requiring the standard deviation to be below 50%. Third, I added price,
Narrowing Participation, SPY and QQQ Hold Up, ETFs with Pullbacks and Breakouts (Premium)
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Market/ETF Video – Short-term Uptrends Reverse, High-beta and Tech ETFs Lag, Defensive ETFs Take the Lead (Premium)
The Composite Breadth Model is bullish, but there are some serious pockets of weakness within the market. Namely, small-caps, high-beta ETFs and tech-related ETFs. Selling pressure increased on Tuesday and many ETFs broke their early April lows to reverse their upswings