All Reports and Signal Pages
(most recent at top)
ETF-Strategy: Trend & StochClose Strategy and Signal Table for All Weather ETFs (Premium)
This article covers the indicators and signals for a trend-rank strategy to trade the 50 ETFs in the All Weather List. The Composite Breadth Model defines market conditions, the Trend Composite identifies the trend and StockClose provides the rank. We show performance metrics for this strategy and provide a signal table.
Market/ETF Video – Big Surge is Bullish, But Many ETFs are Overbought, Defensive ETFs with Bullish Setups, 10-yr Yield Breaks Out (Premium)
The Composite Breadth Model turned positive on January 31st, the percentage of stocks above the 200-day SMA is strong across the board and yields spreads are trending lower (narrowing). This makes the Market Regime bullish for stocks. The only caveat
Market and ETF Report – High Beta ETFs Lead, but become Overbought, Low Beta ETFs Set Up, 10yr Yield Surges (Premium)
High-beta and risk-on ETFs are leading the market here in 2023 with big surges the last five weeks. Many triggered bullish trend signals, but they are also short-term overbought and ripe for a rest. Conversely, low-beta
Market/ETF Video – CBM Makes a Change, SPY and QQQ Challenge Resistance, Setups in Clean Energy, Solar and Transports (Premium)
The Composite Breadth Model turned positive and hit its highest level since January 2022. This means the weight of the evidence turned bullish for stocks. Narrowing yield spreads show increasing confidence
Market and ETF Report – SPY, QQQ and Oil Hit Resistance, Energy ETFs Hold Breakouts, Defensive ETFs with Pullback Setups (Premium)
Stocks surged in January and this surge pushed the Composite Breadth Model to a make or break level. The same goes for SPY and QQQ. The CMB was very close to turning bullish last week, while SPY and QQQ were close to breaking above their resistance zones
Market/ETF Video – CBM Moves to -1, Big Falling Wedge vs Small Rising Wedge, Defensive ETFs Correct in 2023 (Premium)
The Composite Breadth Model improved, but remains negative and the market is at a critical level. A critical level means we are at a moment of truth or a make or break point. One more push higher would turn the CBM positive and trigger a big wedge
Market and ETF Report – A Mixed Market Overall, Risk-On Groups Outperforming, 2022 Leaders a Correcting (Premium)
2023 is starting with a bang as the high-beta groups outperform. High-beta groups are the same as risk-on groups and offensive groups. The 2022 leaders,
SPY Has a Clear Level to Beat (Free)
The S&P 500 has been trending lower since the peak in January 2022, but this decline could be a long correction after a massive advance. The pattern taking shape and
Relative Seasonality and A Monthly Equity Curve (Free)
The stock market has a long-term bullish bias and the monthly return metrics reflect this positive bias. Chartists looking for a seasonal edge can compare benchmark metrics with the monthly performance numbers.
Market/ETF Report – Broad Selling, SPY Reverses Near 200-day, XLK with Outside Day at Key Retracement (Premium)
This is a short update covering the S&P 500 SPDR, a bearish breadth signal and two ETFs. Stocks were hit pretty hard on Wednesday with all sectors moving lower. In an interesting twist, the low volatility sectors, Utilities (XLU) and Consumer Staples
Market/ETF Video – 5-day Nears 200-day with Big Falling Wedge, %Above 200-day Indicators Show Strength, Gold Goes Parabolic (Premium)
The Composite Breadth Model remains negative, but the market is quite split overall. The 5-day SMA for the S&P 500 is very close to crossing above the 200-day SMA, the percentage of stocks above the 200-day SMA is strong and yield spreads are narrowing. There was also a move
Market and ETF Report – SPY Becomes Short-term Overbought, Energy ETFs Go for Breakouts, Biotech ETFs Lead (Premium)
The stock market is quite mixed at the moment. The Composite Breadth Model is negative and the 5-day SMA for the S&P 500 is below the 200-day SMA. The percentage of stocks above the 200-day SMA indicators, however, are showing strength within the broader market because they are above 50%. SPY is nearing a moment
Trade Like Trevor (Free)
Trevor Lawrence put in a performance for the ages in the AFC Wild Card game on Saturday. Chapeaux! Lawrence started the game with four interceptions in the first half, but kept on throwing
Seasonal Trends for the S&P 500 – Best and Worst Months, Monthly Equity Curves, Performance Table (Premium)
Today’s report will dive into monthly seasonal patterns using benchmark metrics and equity curves. The stock market has a long-term bullish bias and the monthly return metrics reflect this positive bias.
ETF-Strategy: Mean-Reversion Strategy and Signal Table for MasterList ETFs (Premium)
This report will introduce the criteria, indicators and signals for a mean-reversion strategy that trades ETFs. The strategy buys after excessive declines and sells after the first bounce. Buy the dip and sell the rip. This is a very picky