Recent Commentary and Analysis

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Market Timing Models – Bull Market Continues to Broaden with More Sectors and Stocks Leading

The major index ETFs extended their breakouts as the bullish forces, which were highlighted last week, dominate heading into year end. Three of three technical forces remain bullish. Two of the three “other” forces turned from rumor to news this week.
Even though I mentioned these fundamental forces last week, the technical forces are what really drive my market stance.

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Weekend Video and ChartBook

This week’s video will cover the 60 core ETFs, the short-term trend for SPY and some events that could shake the market in the coming weeks. There were more new highs, a materials-related ETF broke out, gold failed and bonds backed off resistance.

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‘Tis the Season for Mobile Payments

Black Friday weekend is here and the holiday shopping season is just getting started. While I have no clue which retailers will be the big winners or losers this season, the mobile payments industry is likely to be a big winner.

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Weekend Video and ChartBook

This post features the weekend video that walks you through the the 60 ETFs in the core chart list. I also example on the daily S&P 500 chart and the indicators used to define the short-term uptrend.

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Big Banks Hold Big Breakouts and this Laggard May Play Catchup

Several finance-related ETFs and stocks broke out with big moves from early October to early November. Many of these then stalled over the last two weeks and this rest could be the pause that refreshes. Today we will look at performance for the finance-related ETFs and the bull flags taking shape in three banking stocks

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There is (almost) Always Cause for Concern

The S&P 500 SPDR and Nasdaq 100 ETF recorded new all time highs this past week, while the S&P MidCap 400 SPDR hit a new 52-week high in November. Sounds bullish, but the S&P SmallCap 600 SPDR and Russell 2000 ETF are still well below their 2018 highs, even though they are very close to 52-week highs. Which index ETFs tell the real story here?

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Video, ChartBook Update and ChartNotes

This post features chart notes on recent developments in our core ETF list, an update to the ETF ChartBook and a video covering all 60 core ETFs. Today I am singling out four ETFs to watch closely because they look poised to move.

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Market Timing Model – Small-caps Soften as Large-caps Hold Strong

The sky is falling as the S&P 500 fell a whopping .5% the last four days. Small-caps and mid-caps were hammered as the S&P SmallCap 600 SPDR fell 1% so far this week and the S&P MidCap 400 SPDR declined 1.3%. I am sure that there are probably some good reasons for these miniscule moves. Heck, there are always reasons.

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The Offense has Taken the Field:
Here are Three Signs

The character of the stock market changed over the last six to seven weeks as the market took on a more offensive tone. Stocks were already in bull mode, but we are now seeing stocks outperforming bonds. In addition, momentum and offensive sectors are leading.

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Video, ChartBook Update and ChartNotes

This post features chart notes on recent developments in our core ETF list, an update to the ETF ChartBook and a video covering all 60 core ETFs. Today’s video also shows what to watch for the short-term uptrend and covers oil.

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