Recent Commentary and Analysis

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Avoid Red Herrings and Stocks in a Bear Market

There are a number of bear market rules, but the most important rule is to respect the primary trend. In this regard, I ignore bullish patterns, upside breakouts, bullish setups, support levels and bullish retracement zones during a primary downtrend.

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Studying the Credit Markets of 2008 for Clues on 2020

It’s raining money so today we will cover a couple of bond ETFs, the credit markets and the Fed. In particular, I will highlight the current dislocation in the credit markets using the 20+ Yr Treasury Bond ETF and Corporate Bond ETF. We will then look at credit spreads and note that these spreads often peak ahead of a stock market bottom.

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Breadth Charts and ChartList – Get an Edge with Inside Information

Breadth indicators are also referred to as market internals. As the “vital signs” for an index or sector, breadth indicators reflect aggregate performance for the individual components. As such, breadth indicators can provide leading signals by strengthening before a bottom or weakening ahead of a top. After all, the whole is only as good as the sum of the parts

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Nowhere to Run, Nowhere to Hide

The master ETF list here at TrendInvestorPro has 200 ETFs from every corner of the market: stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, foreign indexes and a few odd balls. They, and I do mean the infamous “they”, say that there is always a bull market somewhere.

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Bear Markets, Gold and Bonds – Podcast Notes

In general, I am not a fan of price targets or projections because they are very subjective. Instead, I prefer to identify the trend in a systematic and objective manner, and then trade or invest accordingly until proven otherwise. The index and sector breadth models turned bearish at the end of February and

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Weekend Video, Chart Notes and ChartBook

There were a slew of 52-week highs a month ago (Valentine’s day) and there is now a bigger slew of 52-week lows. The market went from a raging bull with a few pockets of weakness a month ago to a raging bear with only two major ETF avoiding the new low list: QQQ and XLK.

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