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ETF-Signals: Trend & StochClose Strategy for All Weather ETFs (Premium) Read More »
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ETF-Signals: Mean-Reversion Strategy for MasterList ETFs (Premium) Read More »
This is the signal table for Mean-Reversion Strategy that trades stocks in the Russell 1000. The default sort places current MR-Setups at the top with three column sorts. These are Conditions (Pass), Oversold (MR-Setup) and StdDev (entry preference).
Stock-Signals: Mean-Reversion Setups for Russell 1000 (Premium) Read More »
Stocks were hit with strong selling pressure in April, but the weight of the evidence remains bullish. This means the decline is viewed as a correction within a bigger uptrend. Most stock-based ETFs and stocks will remain under pressure as long as SPY and QQQ are in corrective mode. I am marking
Traders can use this page to run a rotation strategy that trades stocks in the Nasdaq 100. The page starts with a signal summary for the last two weeks. This includes recent entries and exits. We then show the ranking table for the current week.
Stock-Signals: Rotation Strategy Nasdaq 100 (Premium) Read More »
Traders can use this page to run a rotation strategy that trades stocks in the S&P 500 (excluding financials). The page starts with a signal summary for the last two weeks. This includes recent entries and exits. We then show the ranking tables for the current week and prior week.
Stock-Signals: Rotation Strategy S&P 500 (Premium) Read More »
This table is for the Trend & Normalized ROC strategy that trades 74 stock-based ETFs. It tracks the Composite Breadth Model, Trend Composite, eSlope and Normalized ROC.
ETF-Signals: Trend Momo Profit Target Strategy for Stock ETFs (Premium) Read More »
The Trend Composite is a trend indicator that aggregate signals in five indicators. Bollinger Bands (125,1), Keltner Channels (125,2), 5-day Rate-of-Change of 125-day SMA, StochClose (125,5) and CCI-Close (125). Click on any column heading to sort. This table is updated every Friday before the open.
Stock-Signals: S&P 500 Trend Composite Signals Read More »
This page shows the current Market Regime using the Composite Breadth Model and the situation in the credit markets with yield spreads. These indicators are very different, but they go hand in hand when assessing the state of the financial markets.
Market Timing – Composite Breadth Model Read More »
Stocks were hit with strong selling pressure here in April. This selling pressure triggered outsized declines and bearish breadth thrusts. The uptrend, which began with the November breakout, has been derailed. Even so, the longer term indicators are still bullish and this is considered
SPY fell 3.6% so far in April and is below its 50-day SMA for the first time since October. This looks like the start of a pullback because downside participation expanded significantly, just as it did in mid August. Some 83% of S&P 500 stocks were above
Trends often start with outsized moves. But how do we measure and identify such moves? Chartists can measure moves in Average True Range (ATR) terms using the ATR Trailing Stop SAR indicator (ATR-SAR). ATR is a volatility indicator developed by Welles Wilder.
Using Outsized Moves to Identify Trend Reversals – Checking in on ITB and SOXX Read More »
Weakness is spreading as the 10-yr Treasury Yield rises above 4.5%. Even though the rise is not that sharp, the market is re-pricing interest rate expectations going forward. This is especially visible in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Small-caps. Selling pressure increased markedly over
I am mostly a technical analyst and trading system developer, but I also like to understand the companies behind the big business trends. AI is the hottest trend right now and has the potential to be bigger than the Internet. To this end, I am getting up to speed through a variety of sources. Today’s
Internet Boom, Apple’s Run, AI and Nvidia Read More »
The weight of the long-term evidence remains bullish, but the short-term evidence is starting to turn as the 4-wk High-Low Percent indicator combo turned bearish. I consider this strike two against the short-term bulls. Strike one was the gap down
Stocks fell on Tuesday and then recovered somewhat on Wednesday. Overall, SPY is leading the market with the strongest short-term uptrend. QQQ stalled since March 1st, but this is just a consolidation within a bigger uptrend.
The weight of the evidence is bullish for the long-term and the short-term. Long-term, the Composite Breadth Model is positive. Short-term, 4wk High-Low Percent for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 remains net bullish, while SPY and QQQ continue to stair-step higher.
Everyone has a trading plan until they go into drawdown. The Dual Momentum Rotation Strategies are off to a great start here in 2024. This is the easy part. Don’t forget that RISK is always lurking in the equity markets and this is something we must always take into account. There is no reward without risk.
Momentum and trend strategies are off to a roaring start here in 2024. More often than not, these strategies buy leading stocks that appear overbought. Buying stocks that appear overbought often goes against our “gut feel”, but overbought conditions reflect strong buying pressure and this is clearly
Momentum strategies performed well in the first quarter of 2024. The S&P 500 Dual Momentum Rotation Strategy gained 24.8% in the first three months and handily outperformed its benchmark. $SPX was up 10.2%. Breaking it down, the strategy was up 7.3% in January, 11.1% in February and 4.7% in March. S&P 500 stocks even outperformed Nasdaq 100 stocks in March.
Stock-Strategy: Dual Momentum Rotation Strategy for S&P 500 Stocks Read More »
Momentum strategies performed well in the first quarter of 2024. The Nasdaq 100 Dual Momentum Rotation Strategy gained 16.8% for the first three months and handily outperformed its benchmark. $NDX was up 8.5%. Breaking it down, the strategy was up 6.1% in January, up 11.9% in February and down 1.6% in March. NDX stocks underperformed the broader market in March.
Stock-Strategy: Dual Momentum Rotation Strategy for Nasdaq 100 Stocks Read More »