Arthur Hill, CMT

Chart Trader Weekly Report – Broad Market Analysis, Leading Groups (ETFs), Chart Setups and Trading Ideas (Premium)

Chart Trader Sample Report and Video This report and video are posted every Friday morning (before 7AM ET).  Video and Report Headlines September Scheduling Composite Breadth Model is Bullish Yield Spreads Show No Stress SPY Remains near a 52-week High QQQ, MAGS, XLK and SOXX Consolidate September Lows Hold the First Key Northrop Grumman Holds […]

Chart Trader Weekly Report – Broad Market Analysis, Leading Groups (ETFs), Chart Setups and Trading Ideas (Premium) Read More »

Chart Trader Weekly Report – Broad Market Analysis, Leading Groups (ETFs), Chart Setups and Trading Ideas (Premium)

Today’s report starts with the Composite Breadth Model, yield spreads and the major trends. Tech-related ETFs are perking up with some triangle breakouts (QQQ, XLK, MAGS) and some new highs (CIBR, IGV, SKYY, FINX). We then detail short-term setups in the Healthcare SPDR (XLV) and Palladium ETF (PALL). Other Symbols Covered: ILMN, INCY, NVDA, TSM, AVGO, MRVL

Chart Trader Weekly Report – Broad Market Analysis, Leading Groups (ETFs), Chart Setups and Trading Ideas (Premium) Read More »

Breadth Models for Timing the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 – Charting Signals and Quantifying Performance

This report covers the Broad Breadth Model for timing the S&P 500 and the SPX-NDX Breadth Model for timing the Nasdaq 100. We start with an introduction to breadth indicators and then show signals using SPY and QQQ for trading. There is also a table quantifying performance over the last 20 years. In short, these models are doing their job: catching bull runs and moving aside during bear markets.

Breadth Models for Timing the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 – Charting Signals and Quantifying Performance Read More »

Stock-Strategy: Dual Momentum Rotation Strategy for Nasdaq 100 Stocks – Full Details and Performance Metrics

Our Dual Momentum Rotation Strategies are performing well in the first five months of the year. After big gains in January-February, the market softened in March-April, especially Nasdaq 100 stocks. The Nasdaq 100 strategy went into drawdown, while the S&P 500 treaded water.

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Stock-Strategy: Dual Momentum Rotation Strategy for S&P 500 Stocks – Full Details and Performance Metrics

Our Dual Momentum Rotation Strategies are performing well in the first five months of the year. After big gains in January-February, the market softened in March-April, especially Nasdaq 100 stocks. The Nasdaq 100 strategy went into drawdown, while the S&P 500 treaded water.

Stock-Strategy: Dual Momentum Rotation Strategy for S&P 500 Stocks – Full Details and Performance Metrics Read More »

Chart Trader Weekly Report – Broad Market Analysis, Leading Groups (ETFs), Chart Setups and Trading Ideas (Premium)

Today’s report starts with the weight of the evidence for stocks. We look at the Composite Breadth Model, yield spreads and the major trends. Attention then turns the patterns in play for XLK, SOXX and MAGS, as well as four tech ETFs hitting new highs. China stole the show last week so we also analyze the China Large-Cap ETF (FXI), copper and base metals.

Chart Trader Weekly Report – Broad Market Analysis, Leading Groups (ETFs), Chart Setups and Trading Ideas (Premium) Read More »

Breadth Indicators for Capitulation, Thrusts, Bull/Bear Markets, Oversold Conditions and Signals (Premium)

This reports covers breadth indicators to identify three market stages. First, we have the bottoming stage when we see signs of capitulation and a bullish thrust off the lows. Second, we have the trend stage that identifies a bull market for stocks. Third, we have the pullback stage within a bull market.

Breadth Indicators for Capitulation, Thrusts, Bull/Bear Markets, Oversold Conditions and Signals (Premium) Read More »

Finding Bullish Setup Zones within Bigger Uptrends – Requirements, Considerations, Conditions, Setups and Signals (Premium)

This report will show how to find bullish setup zones for trading pullbacks within the bigger uptrend. This is trading in the direction of the bigger uptrend. We are only focused on uptrends and bullish setups. In addition, there are two requirements: the broad market trend must be up and the stock must be

Finding Bullish Setup Zones within Bigger Uptrends – Requirements, Considerations, Conditions, Setups and Signals (Premium) Read More »

Chart Trader Weekly Report – Broad Market Analysis, Leading Groups (ETFs), Chart Setups and Trading Ideas (Premium)

Today’s report starts with the Composite Breadth Model, yield spreads, SPY and QQQ. We then turn to key levels for tech ETFs and highlight the leaders. Commodity-related ETFs are strong since August and we are seeing breakouts base metals, agriculture and others. This report also features three stocks: two from healthcare and one from defense.

Chart Trader Weekly Report – Broad Market Analysis, Leading Groups (ETFs), Chart Setups and Trading Ideas (Premium) Read More »

Chart Trader Weekly Report – Broad Market Analysis, Leading Groups (ETFs), Chart Setups and Trading Ideas (Premium)

We are still in a bull market, but some risk-on groups are lagging and defensive groups are leading. Interest rate sensitive groups are leading. After hard hits in early September, tech names recovered this week with strong advances. We will put these into context and show key levels to watch (QQQ, XLK, MAGS, SOXX). The other four tech ETFs (IGV, CIBR, SKYY, FINX) are holding up better. This report also cover MSFT, META, QCOM, ARM, DELL, AVGO and NVDA.

Chart Trader Weekly Report – Broad Market Analysis, Leading Groups (ETFs), Chart Setups and Trading Ideas (Premium) Read More »

Dual Momentum Rotation Strategy (S&P 500) – Details and Performance (latest)

Strategy Update (last close: August 31st, 2024) The S&P 500 (SPX) continues to lead the way for the Dual Momentum Rotation Strategies with a 36% gain year-to-date. The Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Dual Momentum Rotation Strategy is going through a roller coaster year with four up months and four down months. It is up 10% year-to-date.

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Chart Trader Weekly Report – Broad Market Analysis, Leading Groups (ETFs), Chart Setups and Trading Ideas (Premium)

This comprehensive report and video are published every Friday morning, which gives readers a few days to cover and digest the information. We start with broad market analysis using our breadth models, long-term trends, yield spreads and market disposition. Attention then turns to key groups and leading groups (using ETFs). Based on the leaders, we then feature some stocks with breakouts and trading setups. This report ends with analysis of TLT, GLD and Bitcoin.

Chart Trader Weekly Report – Broad Market Analysis, Leading Groups (ETFs), Chart Setups and Trading Ideas (Premium) Read More »

Chart Trader Weekly Report – Broad Market Analysis, Leading Groups (ETFs), Chart Setups and Trading Ideas (Premium)

Today’s report starts with the CBM and yield spread to define the broad market environment. Despite bull market conditions, odds are increasing for corrective period. We are seeing relative and absolute weakness in key groups, leadership in defensive groups and weak seasonal patterns. GLD and TLT remain strong, while Bitcoin remains weak. We finished with PODD and META.

Chart Trader Weekly Report – Broad Market Analysis, Leading Groups (ETFs), Chart Setups and Trading Ideas (Premium) Read More »

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