Systematic Trading Strategies and Next Level Trading Setups

Market & ETF Report – ZBT Update – Key SPY/QQQ Levels – XLK Hits Resist – Breakouts in Play

Zweig Breadth Thrust Dominates the Headlines – But What about an Exit Strategy?

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The Zweig Breadth Thrust for the S&P 1500 triggered on Thursday as stocks surged last week. In poker terms, this thrust signals an abrupt participation shift as stocks move from folding to all-in within ten days. A bullish thrust signal is only part of the puzzle. How do we know when this signal fails? Today’s report will look at the ZBT signal in the S&P 1500 and offer an exit strategy. Stick around to the end for an offer to access a fully quantified strategy based on the Zweig Breadth Thrust.

Zweig Breadth Thrust Dominates the Headlines – But What about an Exit Strategy? Read More »

ETF-Signals: Trend Momo Profit Target Strategy for Stock ETFs (Premium)

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This page covers signals for the ETF Trend Momentum & Profit Target strategy trading 74 stock-based ETFs. We first cover the Composite Breadth Model for timing. A table then shows the portfolio with a gain/loss column, profit targets and new entry/exit signals. A sidebar shows the current ETF ranking and there is a separate table for closed positions. This page includes a complete ranking table with indicators and sortable columns.

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Rotation Investor Nasdaq 100 – Portfolio, Signals and Rank Table (Premium)

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This page covers signals for the Rotation Investor Strategy for Nasdaq 100 stocks (RO-Investor-NDX). We first cover the NDX Breadth Model for timing. A table then shows the portfolio with a gain/loss column and the new entry/exit signals. The sidebar makes it easy to compare the current ranking with the prior week’s ranking. This page includes a complete ranking table with sortable columns, sector identifiers and rank values.

Rotation Investor Nasdaq 100 – Portfolio, Signals and Rank Table (Premium) Read More »

Rotation Investor S&P 500 – Portfolio, Signals and Rank Table (Premium)

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This page covers signals for the Rotation Investor Strategy S&P 500 stocks (RO-Investor-SPX). We first cover the SPX Breadth Model for timing. A table then shows the portfolio with a gain/loss column and the new entry/exit signals. The sidebar makes it easy to compare the current ranking with the prior week’s ranking. This page includes a complete ranking table with sortable columns, sector identifiers and rank values.

Rotation Investor S&P 500 – Portfolio, Signals and Rank Table (Premium) Read More »

Stock-Signals: S&P 500 Trend Composite Signals

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This page shows Trend Composite signals for stocks in the S&P 500. The Trend Composite aggregate trend signals in five trend-following indicators. Recent signals appear at the top of the table. Users can also sort by different columns and single out specific sectors using the search function. Stocks in uptrends are color coded green for quick identification. This table includes the signal date, gain/loss since the signal and a chart link.

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Rotation Trader S&P 500 – Portfolio, Signals and Rank Table (Premium)

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This page covers signals for the Rotation Trader Strategy for S&P 500 stocks (RO-Trader-SPX). We first cover the SPX Breadth Model for timing. A table then shows the portfolio with a gain/loss column and the new entry/exit signals. The sidebar makes it easy to compare the current ranking with the prior week’s ranking. This page includes a complete ranking table with sortable columns, sector identifiers and rank values.

Rotation Trader S&P 500 – Portfolio, Signals and Rank Table (Premium) Read More »

Rotation Trader Nasdaq 100 – Portfolio, Signals and Rank Table (Premium)

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This page covers signals for the Rotation Trader Strategy for Nasdaq 100 stocks. (RO-Trader-NDX). We first cover the NDX Breadth Model for timing. A table then shows the portfolio with a gain/loss column and the new entry/exit signals. The sidebar makes it easy to compare the current ranking with the prior week’s ranking. This page includes a complete ranking table with sortable columns, sector identifiers and rank values.

Rotation Trader Nasdaq 100 – Portfolio, Signals and Rank Table (Premium) Read More »

ETF-Signals: Trend & StochClose Strategy for All Weather ETFs (Premium)

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Using a 270 ETF universe, this page covers Trend Composite signals for trend and StochClose values for ranking. Users can identify new trend signals, track existing signals and see the percentage change. Sortable columns make it easy to filter for uptrends and then sort by StochClose to rank trend strength. The table includes links to a StockCharts chart with corresponding indicators.

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Market Timing Models – Weekly Signal Updates for Composite, SPX and NDX Breadth Models

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Updated at the end of every week (usually Saturday mornings), this page shows charts and current signals for the three market timing models. The Composite Breadth Model is a broad-based breadth model, the SPX Breadth Model is geared towards large-caps and the NDX Breadth Model focuses on tech stocks. Traders can use these models to time different market segments and assess market conditions.

Market Timing Models – Weekly Signal Updates for Composite, SPX and NDX Breadth Models Read More »

Thrust Signals using %Above SMA – Theory, Practice, Reality

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Besides the Zweig Breadth Thrust, chartists can identify bullish thrusts using short-term breadth indicators, such as the percentage of stocks above their 20 and 50 day SMAs (simple moving averages). Breadth thrust signals reflect a sharp turnaround in participation that can foreshadow an extended uptrend. Thrust signals start with a setup that shows very few stocks

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Zweig Breadth Thrust – NYSE Original – Modern Version AD%

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Developed by the late great Marty Zweig, the Zweig Breadth Thrust uses advance-decline data to identify material shifts in participation. This indicator sets up with when the advance-decline data becomes oversold and triggers when there is a sharp broadening in upside participation (advancing stocks). It is a time sensitive indicator that must trigger within a 10 day window.

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Market & ETF Report – Thrust Shortfall – SPY Resistance – Defensive Groups Lead

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Today’s report starts with the Zweig Breadth Thrust, which failed to trigger for the S&P 500, but remains a possibility for the S&P 1500. Follow through in the coming days is needed to trigger. We then turn to detailed analysis of SPY, which is below its falling 200-day SMA and near short-term resistance. Stocks are still broadly out of favor with eight of the eleven sectors

Market & ETF Report – Thrust Shortfall – SPY Resistance – Defensive Groups Lead Read More »

Market & ETF Video – Bounce Targets – Thrust Indicators – 2 Tech ETFs – Bitcoin Breakout – Gold Warning

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The weight of the evidence remains bearish, but stocks are currently experiencing an oversold bounce. This video will show upside targets and show what it takes to go from a bear market bounce to a bullish breadth thrust. Attention then turns to nine equity ETFs that are holding up the best, including two tech-related ETFs. In the alternative asset group, Bitcoin broke out and the DB Agriculture ETF is making a move. Gold is going parabolic and getting dangerous.

Market & ETF Video – Bounce Targets – Thrust Indicators – 2 Tech ETFs – Bitcoin Breakout – Gold Warning Read More »

Stocks Surge, but Was it Enough for a Breadth Thrust?

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Short-term breadth became oversold on April 4th and stocks surged on April 9th with SPY gaining 10%. SPY then fell 6.5% into Monday and became short-term oversold again. Stock rebounded on Tuesday with SPY gaining 2.6%. Trading is very choppy, but SPY is currently experiencing an oversold bounce. This is still considered a bear market bounce because the market regime indicators are net bearish and we have yet to see a bullish breadth thrust.

Stocks Surge, but Was it Enough for a Breadth Thrust? Read More »

Equities? Fuhgeddaboudit! Alternative Assets are Leading

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Trading is all about the odds. Trade when the odds are in your favor. Exercise patience and stand aside when the odds are NOT in your favor. Stocks are in a bear market and the vast majority of names are trading below their 200-day SMAs. Clearly, the odds are NOT in our favor for equities and equity ETFs. Traders need to look elsewhere. Today’s report will highlight some non-equity leaders and analyze Bitcoin as it sets up.

Equities? Fuhgeddaboudit! Alternative Assets are Leading Read More »

Improving the Odds and Reducing Whipsaws – Trend Trio Indicator and Strategy Preview

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Successful trading strategies use filters to improve the odds. Market filters tell traders when to trade and when not to trade. Trend filters decide which names to trade and which to avoid. For equity strategies, traders can improve their odds by trading only in bull markets, and only trading names that are in uptrends. This report first covers market and trend filters, and then shows how the Trend Trio indicator can reduce whipsaws.

Improving the Odds and Reducing Whipsaws – Trend Trio Indicator and Strategy Preview Read More »

Not Many Uptrends – Gold Gets Frothy – Silver Lags – Natty Tests Breakout – Bitcoin Sets Up

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Today’s report will focus on some commodity-related ETFs for two reasons. First, we are in a bear market for stocks. Second, these ETFs are in uptrends. Despite these uptrends, volatility is increasing in this group as well. There is no escaping volatility these days. We will also cover Bitcoin because it is an alternative asset that is setting up.

Not Many Uptrends – Gold Gets Frothy – Silver Lags – Natty Tests Breakout – Bitcoin Sets Up Read More »

Market Regime ETF Video – Bear Market Bounce – When Relative Strength Means Less Weakness

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The weight of the evidence remains bearish. Stocks are in the midst of an oversold bounce, but we have yet to see follow through strong enough to trigger a bullish breadth thrust. SPY and QQQ are in long-term downtrends and near short-term resistance levels after their oversold bounces, which creates a precarious situation. In fact, several ETFs are hitting resistance levels after oversold bounces. Some ETFs are even showing relative strength, but this really means “less weakness”. Gold remains the ultimate safe-haven and Bitcoin has a bullish failure swing working.

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