Signal Table: ETF Mean-Reversion Setups & Indicators (Premium)
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Signal Table: ETF Trend Composite & StochClose Rank (Premium)
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Signal Table: ETF Trend Composite & Momentum Rank (Premium)
This table tracks signals and momentum for stock-based ETFs that are part of the ETF Trend Momentum Strategy. This table qualifies ETFs that meet three requirements: CBM is positive, Trend Composite is positive
Signal Table: S&P 500 Trend Composite Signals (Free)
The Trend Composite is a trend indicator that aggregate signals in five indicators. Bollinger Bands (125,1), Keltner Channels (125,2), 5-day Rate-of-Change of 125-day SMA, StochClose (125,5) and CCI-Close (125). Click on any column heading to sort. This table is updated every Friday before the open.
Composite Breadth Model versus the Trend Composite (Premium)
I received some questions regarding the discrepancy between the Composite Breadth Model, which is at -3 and the Trend Composite for the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY), which is at +5. This is because breadth
Will the Generals follow the Troops? (Free)
Small-caps are leading the way lower and breadth indicators are showing some serious deterioration under the surface. Large-caps are holding up for now, but keep in mind that weakness in small-caps foreshadowed the
Why Use Market Filters?, Indicator Settings Are Double-Edged Swords, the Best Performing Market Filter (Premium)
Today’s report will dive into the market filter, which is used to define bull and bear markets. Market filters are an important part of trend-following and momentum strategies that trade stocks and stock-based ETFs. The Composite Breadth Model has not worked well over the last 15 months, but this is a relatively short timeframe in the grand scheme
Market/ETF Video – Large-cap Techs Lift S&P 500, Small-caps Weigh on Breadth, Defensive Groups in Downswings (Premium)
The technical picture shows a split market and the fundamental picture is also split. Large-cap techs are leading and the 5-day SMA crossed above the 200-day SMA for the S&P 500. However, small-caps remain weak and the Composite Breadth Model is at -3. The Fed came to
Current Market Regime, Composite Breadth Model, Yield Spreads and Fed Balance Sheet (Premium)
This page shows the current Market Regime using the Composite Breadth Model and the situation in the credit markets with yield spreads. These indicators are very different, but they go hand in hand when assessing the state of the financial markets.
Market and ETF Report – Big Swings and Rotations within the Market, Big Tech Leads, Defensives Lag with Downswings (Premium)
The market went through some serious rotations over the last few months. The Finance sector led the market off the October low and then fell apart over the last four weeks. Healthcare and the defensive groups led the market from early October to
Getting Started with TrendInvestorPro!
This page provides an overview of my philosophy, the analysis tools that I use, the commentary schedule and the offerings on the premium page. Focusing on ETFs, TrendinvestorPro offers an objective and systematic approach to the analysis process. Note that there are three possibilities when we analyze a chart
A Risk-off Alternative Turns Up as Stocks Falter (Free)
Sometimes markets trend, sometimes they oscillate and sometimes they simply frustrate. I would venture to guess that trading since 2022 falls into the frustration basket. Trend following and momentum strategies are suffering because big moves
Strategy Update – Trend-StochClose-Rank Strategy Trading the All Weather ETFs in Bull and Bear Markets (Premium)
This report updates the strategy that trades the 50 All-Weather ETFs using the Trend Composite for trend status and StochClose for price rank. I am updating this strategy because the Composite Breadth Model turned
Strategy Update – Trend ROC-Momentum Rank Strategy for Stock-based ETFs – with Exit and Profit Target (Premium)
Today’s report will update the strategy that trades stock-based ETFs using the Trend Composite for trend status, Volatility-Adjusted ROC200 for momentum ranking and three different exits. I am updating this strategy because the Composite Breadth Model
Market/ETF Video – CBM Turns Negative, Yields Spreads Widen, Bonds Rise as Safe Haven Trade, Tech ETFs Show Relative Strength, but… (Premium)
The weight of the evidence is bearish for stocks. The Composite Breadth Model turned negative on Monday, yield spreads widened significantly over the past week and SPY broke wedge support. Risk for stocks and stock-based ETFs is above average right
Market and ETF Report – CBM Turns Negative, Tech Related ETFs Show Relative Strength, Leaders Take a Hit (Premium)
Recent events in the banking world jolted stocks. This jolt was enough to push the Composite Breadth Model into negative territory and widen yield spreads. The Regional Bank
Trend Signals and Trailing Stops Examples using XLF and SOXX (Free)
Chartists considering a trend-following strategy can use the Trend Composite to identify trend signals and then turn to the ATR Trailing Stop for an exit strategy. A bearish Trend Composite signal could also be used as an exit strategy, but these signals
Strategy – Mean Reversion Part 5: Tradable Universe of ETFs, Expectations, Unfilled Setups, Signal Clustering (Premium)
This article will provide an update to the Mean-Reversion Strategy for ETFs. The choice for ETF universe influences results so today I would like to test this strategy with the 275 ETFs in the Master
Market/ETF Video – SPY Tests Breakout, TLT Firms After Testimony, Tech ETFs in Pullback Mode, Small-caps and Retail Lagging (Premium)
Stocks fell sharply on Tuesday as the market reacted to testimony from Fed Chairman Powell. The Dollar surged and gold fell, but the 20+ Yr Treasury Bond ETF actually advanced on the day. Based on
Market and ETF Report – SPY Surges off 200-day, Short-term Breakouts Trigger, Small-caps, Retail and Region Banks Lag (Premium)
The S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) fell back to its 200-day SMA in February and then surged with a sharp advance the last few days. This advance triggered breakouts in several ETFs that were featured in last week’s report and video. Today’s report will update these charts and set the
The Trend Composite and StochClose Rank Strategy for trading the All Weather ETFs in Bull and Bear Markets (Update – Part 12)
This report is an update for the Trend Composite and StochClose Rank Strategy that trades ETFs in the All-Weather List during bull and bear markets. Examining recent performance and signals can