All Reports and Signal Pages
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Seasonality versus Simply Market Timing (Public)
According to the Stock Trader’s Almanac, the best six-month period runs from November to April. The worst six-month period runs from May to October. This is where the phrase “sell in May and go away” comes from. There is some validity to the best
Chart Trader – SPY Surges above Pop-and-Drop High, XLK is the One to Watch – Setups in 6 ETFs and 6 Stocks (Premium)
The big trend is the dominant force at work and SPY remains in an uptrend since the higher high in early February. Seasonal patterns, even when strong, are secondary to the bigger trend. Seasonal weakness in September could still materialized
Chart Trader – SPY and QQQ Projections, GLD Perks Up, Four Semiconductor Stocks to Watch (Premium)
SPY peaked on July 27th with a big outside reversal day (red arrow) and broke short-term support with a gap-decline on August 2nd. SPY and the major index ETFs then fell into mid August and became
Sectors with Lowest Correlation, Good and Bad Trades with Oversold Setups (Premium)
Today’s report will show two more examples using the Momentum Composite and StochRSI. The Momentum Composite identifies oversold conditions and StochRSI signals a subsequent
Market/ETF Video and Report – Market Turns Mixed, Retail and Banks Extend Lower, Healthcare and Defense Hold Up (Premium)
The S&P 500 SPDR and Nasdaq 100 ETF fell sharply in August, but these declines look like corrections within bigger uptrends. However, the S&P MidCap 400 SPDR and Russell 2000 ETF also fell. These two, in contrast, are in long-term trading ranges and immediate downtrends. We
Market Report – Trading SPY and QQQ with the Momentum Composite, StochRSI and the ATR Trailing Stop (Premium)
A classic trading technique is to look for short-term oversold conditions within longer term uptrends. Short-term oversold conditions provide opportunities to partake in the long
A Nasdaq 100 Stock Showing Relative Strength in August (Free)
Stocks were hit hard in August with QQQ leading the way lower and breaking its July low. Stocks that did not break their July lows are holding up better and showing relative strength. These are the stocks I want on my WatchList for tradable pullbacks and short-term breakouts.
Market Report – Breadth Thrust Triggers, Thrust Model Turns, Seasonal Patterns, Next Big Support for SPY (Premium)
Selling pressure intensified in August as we saw the first bearish breadth thrust since mid March. I use the 10-day EMA of Advance-Decline Percent to measure breadth thrusts.
Market/ETF Video and Report – Breadth and Oversold Levels, Small-caps and QQQ Lead Lower, Healthcare Holds Up (Premium)
Stocks are in pullback mode right now. We never know which pullback will extend far enough to result in a larger downtrend. Currently, the declines in SPY,QQQ and others look like pullbacks after big advances from May to July. There is, however, concern with recent reversals in retail (XRT) and banking (KRE). I would
Stock-Strategy: Mean-Reversion Strategy for Russell 1000 – UPDATES (Premium)
This article will update the mean-reversion strategy that trades stocks in the Russell 1000. Mean-reversion setups and trades come in clusters, such as now. This means we often get periods with
Market/ETF Video and Report – SPX ADP50 Line Holds, QQQ Starts to Lag, Watching Some Flags (Premium)
Stocks moved into pullback mode the last few weeks. It started with QQQ peaking on July 19th and SPY peaking on July 31st. It is way too early to call these “major” peaks. At present, these are just short-term peaks because both ETFs are
Market/ETF Video and Report – AD Line50 Forms M Top, Techs Still Leading, JETS Pulls Back, GLD Sets Up (Premium)
The weight of the evidence remains bullish for stocks. The Composite Breadth Model is positive (since March 31st), yield spreads show no stress and upside participation remains strong. SPY and QQQ remain in short-term
Market/ETF Video and Report – Breadth Indicator Becomes Overbought, Defensive Groups Catch a Bid, Metals Move (Premium)
The weight of the evidence remains bullish for stocks. The Composite Breadth Model is positive (since March 31st), yield spreads show no stress and upside participation remains strong. The only short-term negative is actually a long-term positive.
Stock-Strategy: Mean-Reversion Strategy and Signal Table for Russell 1000 Stocks (Premium)
This article introduces a mean-reversion strategy to trade Russell 1000 stocks. I will cover some of the key concepts behind the strategy and provide a sneak-peak at the equity curve. In contrast to the rotation strategy trading
Market/ETF Video and Report – MidCap New Highs Expand, Tech ETFs Hit New Highs, Commodity-Related ETF Surge (Premium)
The weight of the evidence remains bullish for stocks. The Composite Breadth Model is positive (since March 31st), yield spreads show no stress and upside participation continues to improve. We are seeing new highs in several tech-related ETFs, the Home Construction ETF and the Industrials SPDR.