SPY and QQQ eked out new highs this week and IWM even bounced. However, IWM is still down over 5% the last twenty weeks and seriously lagging the other two, which are up double digits. Despite continued strength in SPY, there are some concerns brewing under the surface. Yield spreads edged up, S&P 500 breadth is

As noted on Thursday, the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) is in a clear uptrend and price action remains bullish. The concerns start when we look under the surface and move down in market cap. The S&P 500 hit a new high this week and yet less than 60% of SPX stocks

Today’s video starts with new highs in SPY and QQQ, and the extended trading range in IWM. Large-caps, large-cap techs and healthcare are leading the market, while small-caps, industrials, finance and others are lagging. Even though several groups are lagging because they declined the last one to three months, many formed falling wedge

The Gold SPDR (GLD) bounced in July and hit a make or break resistance zone. Overall, the long-term trend is down for GLD. Price is below the 200-day, the 200-day is falling and StochClose is bearish. Price is also moving from the upper left to the lower right of the chart. Shorter term, GLD bounced off the 67% retracement line and broken resistance in July

Stocks were hit pretty hard the last few weeks with small-caps leading the way. The recent outsized declines created short-term oversold conditions that could lead to a mean-reversion bounce in the coming days. However, there are some medium-term issues that point to a corrective period in the coming weeks. Namely

Today’s video starts with SPY and its grind higher. Large-cap techs are leading QQQ higher and these stocks are also contributing to the gains in SPY. Mid-caps and small-caps continue to stall as medium-term breadth indicators deteriorate. The big tech-related ETFs are strong, but extended.

The big trends remain up, but medium-term breadth and price action suggest that we are currently in a corrective period. The equal-weight S&P 500 ETF, mid-caps and small-caps got the correction memo, but large-cap techs, SPY and QQQ did not. Healthcare stocks are also holding up well and contributing to strength in SPY.

Stocks finished on a high note yet again with large-caps leading the way as SPY and QQQ hit new highs. IWM was down, but remains with a triangle breakout. The yield curves narrowed even further in late June and this was accompanied by new highs in oil. Short-term breadth is dragging, but

Today we start with an up and coming industry group ETF (cannabis) and then turn to some commodity-related ETFs. Gold and silver were clobbered in June, but both are firming in potential reversals zones and warrant a watch going forward. The timber and copper ETFs were hit hard, but they are quite oversold within bigger uptrends. And finally, the water ETF broke out and the telecom ETF has a similar pattern at work. Cannabis Tries to Turn the Corner In

Stocks finished on a high note with SPY and QQQ hitting new highs. Mid-caps, small-caps and micro-caps are still short of new highs and lagging large-caps overall. Treasury yields look poised to move higher, which means bonds look poised to move lower. Gold is very oversold, but still has a rather

Today’s commentary starts with Treasury yields by highlighting the divergence between short-term and long-term yields. We then look at the yield curve and its correlation with the Regional Bank ETF. Even though KRE has underperformed the last three months, it became quite oversold last week and got a bounce. We then turn to the breakout in the

It was quite an eventful week with the 10-yr yield falling sharply, the 5-yr yield surging, gold reversing its upswing and stocks taking a hard hit the last three days. Tech and Healthcare are holding up relatively well as Industrials, Finance, Materials and Consumer Staples led the decline

The Dollar, gold, bonds and high-growth stocks were covered on Thursday morning because of big moves and a signal for gold. This was perhaps a knee jerk reaction so I will continue to watch and monitor price action next week, which is when the market could show its true colors. Today’s note will cover the big three: SPY, QQQ and IWM. I will also look at two short-term breadth indicators that are not keeping pace here in June. SPY Continues

There is nothing like a Fed meeting to shake up the market. Thus, I am going to cover the intermarket ETFs a day early because there are some reversals and patterns we should be aware of. There appears to be a change in thinking at the Fed and the Fed is still the elephant in the room when it comes to

Tech stocks led the market again this week and the tech-related ETFs are the top performers over the last four to five weeks. The old economy ETFs, such as industrials, housing,

The stock market does not get any more mixed than it did on Thursday. The S&P 500 SPDR closed with a .50% gain, the S&P SmallCap 600 SPDR closed with a 1.6% loss and the Nasdaq 100 ETF advanced 1%. This was not a value-growth split, but rather a large-small split. Small-cap growth (IJT) and small-cap value (IJS) were both down over 1%.

Tech stocks were hit with selling pressure on Thursday and then rebounded along with Treasury bonds on Friday. The narrative seems to be that rising bonds and falling yields are bullish for tech stocks. Regardless of the narrative, several tech related ETFs are holding their breakouts within larger

SPY stalled the last seven weeks, but remains in a clear uptrend. Despite some concerns with seasonal patterns in June, August and September, the price chart for SPY remains strong and the Composite Breadth Model is fully bullish. The Fed balance sheet expanded this week and hit a new record

May was a volatile month for SPY with five swings of two percent or more, but the month ended slightly positive after a 3% upswing the last eight trading days. May is finished and now we head to June, which has a slightly negative seasonal bias. We will look at this seasonal pattern in today’s video and put the current

This commentary will look at this historic advance in the S&P 500, and them some less historic charts for oil, gold, silver, bonds and the Dollar. The 14-month gain in the S&P 500 is the largest in over 70 years. Oil is still challenging resistance as a bullish cup-with-handle forms. Gold remains in the midst of a strong advance as silver forms a bullish pennant. Treasury bonds are best avoided because they are tainted and the Dollar is in a

This article is the second of a two part series where we put gold and silver to the test. The first article showed test results for crosses of the 200-day SMA and EMA. This article tests the Trend Composite signals

It was another week full of gaps. Tech-related ETFs rebounded and gapped up on Thursday. The old economy ETFs gapped down on Wednesday and did not partake in the tech rebound. Thus, we have up-gaps and short-term breakouts in tech competing with

This commentary will look at oil, gold, silver, bonds and the Dollar. I am sure that there are some intermarket narratives at work here, but I will try to stick with the price charts for a pure assessment. Oil is backing off of a massive resistance zone. Gold broke above the 200-day SMA as it extended its run and silver is challenging

Stocks closed weak on Tuesday and are set to open lower on Wednesday, which means the corrective process is set to continue. It is still a bull market according to the Composite Breadth Model and the weight of the evidence, but the near-term picture is looking shaky with QQQ struggling