Systematic Trading Strategies and Next Level Trading Setups
These are the charts from my interview with Jim Puplava and Financial Sense on Thursday, October 30thy. Overbought conditions can persist in strong uptrends (SPY, QQQ). MAGS is not yet overbought. Plus XLI, Breadth, IEF, Gold, Copper and Bitcoin.
The Market Regime page defines the stock market environment: bull or bear market. Three trend/breadth models quantify performance for stocks in the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and S&P 1500. Yield spreads capture credit market conditions, while Treasury yield trends reflect Fed policy.
The market environment remains bullish with tech and AI related stocks leading the charge. Today’s report features a stock that fits in both the semiconductor and software groups (Cadence CDNS). We will also cover Tesla, which is part of the Mag7 ETF, another market leader. Attention then turns to an off-price retailer with a breakout (Burlington Stores BURL).
The weight of the evidence remains bullish with the same groups leading the way higher. SPY and QQQ hit new highs to affirm the dominance of large-caps and large-cap techs. Tech, industrials and utilities are the strongest sectors with new highs this month. Within technology, the AI-related ETFs are leading the charge with short-term breakouts last
Trading is all about putting the odds in your favor. When picking stocks, we can improve our odds by staying on the right side of the market and focusing on names in leading sectors and industry groups. Today’s report starts with the market
Today’s report starts with bonds because these safe haven assets are trending higher. Bonds have yet to start outperforming stocks, but traders should watch this relationship for clues on the risk appetite for stocks. Precious metals were rocked this week as gold, silver and their respective
Today’s report features five stock setups and two ETFs. Finding setups during earnings season is a challenge because I try to avoid stocks that are reporting within the next two weeks, and most stocks in the S&P 500 are reporting between now and month end. I am revisiting three prior
The weight of the evidence remains bullish for stocks. SPY, QQQ and IWM hit new highs in October and remain in leading uptrends. Around 65% of S&P 500 stocks are above their 200-day SMAs. Even though this means
Welcome to the Friday Chart Fix! Price action turned volatile in October with one key sector breaking down and another holding up. This bifurcation within the market is par for the course lately. The key, as always, is to focus on the leaders and ignore the laggards. Finance
Metals have been leading the financial markets with massive moves the eleven weeks. SPY (+4%), QQQ (+6.6%) and IWM (+14.10%) sport nice gains since August 1st. These gains, however, are dwarfed by Silver Miners SIL (+65%), Gold Miners GDX (+57.77%), Uranium URA +47.64%) and Silver SLV (+45%). The Gold SPDR (GLD) is in the middle
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Today’s report features two stocks from the Consumer Staples sector, two from the Industrials sector and two from the Technology sector. This is a relatively balanced approach that may help should the market turn volatile in the coming weeks.
It is still a bull market, but some key groups are under pressure. We start with a performance chart showing the percentage gain/loss for 15 ETFs. The right side of the chart shows the performance ranking. The Gold
Welcome to the Friday Chart Fix! Today’s report starts with the leading uptrend in QQQ. Large-caps tech stocks may seem ripe for a correction, but there are no signs of weakness on the price chart. Even though QQQ and the MAG7 are leading, there is strength in other areas with five healthcare stocks outperforming six of the MAG7. This report concludes with
Precious metals and gold-silver miners are outperforming tech and AI ETFs in 2025. Who would have thought? The chart below shows year-to-date performance for SPY, QQQ, some tech ETFs and some metals ETFs. SPY and QQQ are up 15 and 20 percent year-to-date, respectively. Even so, the lowly Copper ETF is outperforming these two with a
The stock market remains in bull mode with tech, utilities and industrials leading the chart. There is also a newcomer to the party as the Healthcare SPDR (XLV) broke out over the last two weeks. Today’s report covers two tech stocks, a leading consumer staple and four healthcare stocks. Symbols covered include: AVGO, CRWD, WMT, AMGN, INCY, COR and CAH
The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) is also chugging along with new 52-week highs here in early October, but the S&P SmallCap 600 SPDR (IJR) and S&P MidCap 400 ETF (IJH) stalled the last four weeks and remain well below their
The weight of the evidence remains bullish for stocks. Large-caps (SPY) and QQQ (large techs) are leading with new highs on Monday. 66% of S&P 500 are above their 200-day SMAs, which means the vast majority of stocks are in long-term uptrends. The S&P 1500
Welcome to the Friday Chart Fix! Today’s report focuses on the Healthcare sector, which sprang to life this week as the Trend Composite turned positive. This signal, however, was not the first bullish signal. Healthcare showed signs of capitulation at the end of July, there was a double bottom breakout in late August and a bull flag
Metals remain strong with gold, silver and their respective miners leading the charge. Industrial metals are also strong with copper, DBA and uranium extending on their late August breakouts. Even Bitcoin caught a bid this week with the government shutdown. Oil reacted differently with a rather sharp decline this past week. I would not read too much into the ramifications of the government shutdown
The Market Regime page defines the stock market environment: bull or bear market. Three trend/breadth models quantify performance for stocks in the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and S&P 1500. Yield spreads capture credit market conditions, while Treasury yield trends reflect Fed policy.
Today’s report features six stocks in leading groups. These include the MAG7, Aerospace & Defense, Robotics & Automation, Crypto, Semis and AI Data Center. The market environment is currently bullish, but there are some sizable pockets of weakness because around a third of S&P 500 stocks are below their 200-day SMAs. Chartists can increase the odds of success by focusing on stocks
in leading uptrends and within leading groups.
The weight of the evidence remains bullish for stocks with large-caps and tech stocks leading the way. Utilities, defense and big banks are also strong. Small-caps and mid-caps are more mixed. We could be in for some volatility as the headlines flow from Washington DC. What else is new? We could also be in for a rough ride because October is
SPY reached a milestone this week as it held above its 50-day SMA for more than 100 days, which was the seventh such occurrence since 2000. Even though SPY is 2.2% above its 50-day, only half of its components are above their 50-day SMAs and new lows are expanding. However, a correction in SPY could remain elusive until tech stocks and the MAG7 buckle. Elsewhere, it is a bull market in commodities and even energy is starting turn up.