Systematic Strategies and Next Level Technical Analysis
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SPY is at a moment of truth as breadth deteriorates and stress increases in the credit markets. SPY, QQQ and IWM remain in long-term uptrends, but
Month-to-date performance is ugly for our 20 asset class ETFs. Oil, the energy-heavy DB Commodity ETF, Bitcoin and Agriculture are the only winners this month. … $IEF, $TLT, $STIP, $GLD, $SLV, $DBA, $CPER, $DBB, $SRUUF, $IBIT
Today’s report features a Mag7 stock that is holding strong after a pullback. We also feature a power management stock, a drone maker and a biotech. Symbols: $GOOGL, $KTOS, $ETN, $BIIB
Despite some macro headwinds and a war with Iran, the weight of the evidence remains bullish for stocks. Stocks fell sharply in March, however … Symbols: $WTIC, $UST10Y, $SPY, $QQQ, $XLK, $AIQ, $ARTY, $XLC, $XLB, $ITA, $ARKX
The markets were thrown for a loop in March as geopolitical tensions surged and the macro situation deteriorated. Energy prices shot up and interest rates rose as inflationary pressures increased. Despite these events … Symbols $SPY $QQQ $IWM $DBB
Among our asset class ETFs, Energy, Bitcoin, Base Metals, Agriculture and QQQ are the only gainers this month, which is since the war with Iran began. Precious Metals, Bonds, Small-caps and Miners are down … $IEF, $GLD, $SLV, $GDX, $SIL, $CPER, $DBB, $SRUUF, $URA, $COPX, $XME, $IBIT
There are only two stock setups today, and both are from the Healthcare sector, a leading defensive sector. Until the macro picture clears, my preference is for defensive groups, smaller positions and less exposure. Symbols: $PFE $HCA
Just like March 2025, volatility is rearing its ugly head. Oil surged above its 2025 highs, bonds are not offering safe haven and small-caps were crushed. Large-cap techs, however…Symbols: $SPY, $QQQ, $XLK, $AIQ, $ARTY, $SMH, $SOXX, $XLV, $IBB, $TAN, $ICLN
The markets turned volatile this week as stocks, bonds and gold fell. Oil and the Dollar surged. Bonds did not offer their usual safe-haven, but money moved into agriculture. It is not clear if this was a safe-haven move, but agriculture
The TBond ETF is testing its breakout zone. Gold and Copper Miners ETFs formed triangles after new highs. Oil futures are in backwardation. Symbols: $IEF, $GLD, $SLV, $GDX, $SIL, $CPER, $DBB, $SRUUF, $URA, $COPX, $XME, $WTIC, $USO, $USL, $IBIT
Today’s report features stocks from groups that have been leading since the broadening began in late November. These include an aluminum leader, a defense trade, a big pharmaceutical and a DIY leader. Symbols: $AA $CAE $ABBV $LOW
The market profile was defensive before the war, and remains defensive. Healthcare, Staples, Utilities, Defense and Infrastructure are in, while Tech, Consumer Discretionary and Finance are out $SPY, $QQQ, $IEF, $WTIC, $UUP, $MAGS, $AIQ, $XLK, $KBWB, $ITB, XHB
Mag 7 stocks powered the market higher from April to October, but sputtered since November with three breaking down. Four are still in long-term uptrends. Today’s report starts with the laggards and then turn to Apple. $MSFT, $AMZN, $META, $AAPL
Mag 7 stocks account for 33% of SPY and 41% of QQQ. The trouble starts when/if these leaders break down. Three broke down, but four of the seven are holding up. This report covers $GOOGL, $NVDA and $TSLA.
The Treasury bond ETFs got big breakouts in mid February and these breakouts are holding. Copper and Base Metals are also active with small wedge breakouts. Symbols covered: $IEF, $GLD, $SLV, $GDX, $SIL, $CPER, $DBB, $SRUUF, $URA, $IBIT