Arthur Hill, CMT

ETF Analysis and Ranking – Few Uptrends and Lots of Downtrends

Today’s report will focus on the long-term trends for ETFs in the master ETF list (some 200). The vast majority are in downtrends, but 20 or so are bucking the selling pressure or holding up relatively well. I will also talk about trend signals versus setup signals. This report includes a trend table, some scatter plots and charts separating the relatively strong from the relatively weak.

SPY Moves from Caution Zone to Danger Zone

Today we will review the long-term trend evidence for SPY and the recent uptick in volatility with a new twist on the Average True Range (ATR). I will then show a custom breadth indicator measuring 20-day highs and lows in the S&P 500 and finish with the danger zone for SPY. This post also includes a PDF file with charts for the 11 sector SPDRs.

Was that the Shortest Bear Market in History?

The bulk of the evidence remains bearish and this means bounces are expected to fail at some point. Picking that point is, of course, a whole other ball game. Keep in mind that the S&P 500 fell some 33% from February 19th to March 23rd and hit a 52-week low on March 23rd

Studying the Credit Markets of 2008 for Clues on 2020

It’s raining money so today we will cover a couple of bond ETFs, the credit markets and the Fed. In particular, I will highlight the current dislocation in the credit markets using the 20+ Yr Treasury Bond ETF and Corporate Bond ETF. We will then look at credit spreads and note that these spreads often peak ahead of a stock market bottom.

Breadth Charts and ChartList – Get an Edge with Inside Information

Breadth indicators are also referred to as market internals. As the “vital signs” for an index or sector, breadth indicators reflect aggregate performance for the individual components. As such, breadth indicators can provide leading signals by strengthening before a bottom or weakening ahead of a top. After all, the whole is only as good as the sum of the parts

Nowhere to Run, Nowhere to Hide

The master ETF list here at TrendInvestorPro has 200 ETFs from every corner of the market: stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, foreign indexes and a few odd balls. They, and I do mean the infamous “they”, say that there is always a bull market somewhere.

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