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ETF Trends, Patterns and Setups – Metals, Energy and Banks Lead, Industrials and Materials Perk Up, Uptrend Signals in Clean Energy (Premium)

SPY and QQQ ended their corrections with breakouts last week and this is bullish for the broader market. Small-caps (IJR) are also making a breakout bid as strength within the market broadens. In particular, we are seeing leadership from ETFs associated with industrial

ETF Trends, Patterns and Setups – Metals, Energy and Banks Lead, Industrials and Materials Perk Up, Uptrend Signals in Clean Energy (Premium) Read More »

Weekend Video – Follow Through with Strong Breadth, Tech ETFs Surge, Industrial Metals Lead (Premium)

Stocks surged again on Thursday, but this week’s surge was different than the Thursday’s surge the prior week. SPY and QQQ followed through after the open and S&P 500 breadth showed broad participation. Small-caps also bounced, but the S&P SmallCap 600 SPDR

Weekend Video – Follow Through with Strong Breadth, Tech ETFs Surge, Industrial Metals Lead (Premium) Read More »

ETF Trends, Patterns and Setups – Industrial Metals ETF Lead, Tech-related ETF Follow Through, Clean Energy Perks Up (Premium)

Even though breadth during the recent pops was uninspiring, the bulls are not backing down and we are in a bull market environment, as per the Market Regime page. There are really only two trading/investing options in a bull market: long or cash. Short positions are not realistic options. There are

ETF Trends, Patterns and Setups – Industrial Metals ETF Lead, Tech-related ETF Follow Through, Clean Energy Perks Up (Premium) Read More »

Weekend Video – SPY Attempts to Reverse Pullback, Banks, Insurance and Energy Lead, Rising Rates Weigh (Premium)

Stocks surged on Thursday with SPY and QQQ gapping higher in an attempt to end their pullbacks. The gaps-surges are largely holding, but breadth was lackluster and techs fell back on Friday. Rising Treasury yields are influencing current market dynamics. This creates a headwind for

Weekend Video – SPY Attempts to Reverse Pullback, Banks, Insurance and Energy Lead, Rising Rates Weigh (Premium) Read More »

SPY Goes for Breakout, Breadth Underwhelms, IJR Challenges Triangle Line, Oil and Dollar Remain Strong (Premium)

The S&P 500 and broad market indexes popped on Wednesday-Thursday. We also saw short-term breakouts in a number of ETFs. Are these breakouts enough to end the corrective period that began with the September decline? Or, is this just a short-term head fake that will

SPY Goes for Breakout, Breadth Underwhelms, IJR Challenges Triangle Line, Oil and Dollar Remain Strong (Premium) Read More »

ETF Trends, Patterns and Setups – Tech ETFs Firm with Harami, Some Laggards are Showing Short-term Strength (Premium)

There are plenty of ETFs with corrections or downtrends the last few months, but some of these are showing short-term relative strength. Similarly, several tech-related ETFs firmed with hamari on Monday-Tuesday and closed strong on Wednesday.

ETF Trends, Patterns and Setups – Tech ETFs Firm with Harami, Some Laggards are Showing Short-term Strength (Premium) Read More »

Weekend Video – A 5% Pullback, Rotations within the Stock Market, Watching for the Next Breadth Signal (Premium)

Large-caps finally pulled back with the S&P 500 SPDR falling around 5% in September. Small-caps held up better with a smaller decline. Overall, there was a rotation underway in September as money moved into banks, energy, airlines and defense.

Weekend Video – A 5% Pullback, Rotations within the Stock Market, Watching for the Next Breadth Signal (Premium) Read More »

ETF Trends, Patterns and Setups – Surge in Yields Drives Rotations, Techs Suffer, Banks Benefit, Energy ETFs Break Out (Premium)

There are some new trend signals over the last five days. The Bank SPDR (KBE) and Regional Bank ETF (KRE) followed through on last week’s surges and StochClose moved above 60 to turn bullish. Also notice that the 52wk Range

ETF Trends, Patterns and Setups – Surge in Yields Drives Rotations, Techs Suffer, Banks Benefit, Energy ETFs Break Out (Premium) Read More »

Signs of Rotation Again, Corrections Targets for XLK/XLC, StochClose Signals vs Price Action for Some High-Beta ETFs (Premium)

Signs of a market rotation began to appear last week as the 10-yr Treasury Yield surged, the 20+ Yr Treasury Bond ETF plunged and the Regional Bank ETF advanced over 3%. Techs and high-flyers held up relatively well last week, but got pummeled on Tuesday with many falling more than 3%.

Signs of Rotation Again, Corrections Targets for XLK/XLC, StochClose Signals vs Price Action for Some High-Beta ETFs (Premium) Read More »

Weekend Video – SPY Recovers after Gap, But Downtrends Expand, Bonds Throw Tantrum, Banks Surge (Premium)

Stocks were hit hard on Monday-Tuesday with dozens of ETFs becoming oversold, including SPY. These oversold conditions gave way to a strong rebound the rest of the week with Finance and Energy leading the way. Bonds threw a small tantrum after the Fed meeting as the

Weekend Video – SPY Recovers after Gap, But Downtrends Expand, Bonds Throw Tantrum, Banks Surge (Premium) Read More »

Breadth Pops along with the 10-yr Treasury Yield, Banks Respond, Gold Extends Downtrend, Oil Holds Breakout (Premium)

The Fed has yet to actually start tapering, but dropped some hints that it would if the economy continues to strengthen. The bond market, which tends to lead the Fed, reacted violently as the 20+ Yr Treasury Bond ETF fell over 2% and the 10-yr Treasury Yield broke above

Breadth Pops along with the 10-yr Treasury Yield, Banks Respond, Gold Extends Downtrend, Oil Holds Breakout (Premium) Read More »

ETF Trends, Patterns and Setups – Downtrend Signals Expand and Hit Key Groups, Tech ETFs Hold Up Relatively Well (Premium)

After a dozen new uptrend signals in late August and early September, the tide changed as the S&P 500 experienced its first 4-5 percent pullback since May. This pullback was enough to reverse some of the new uptrend signals and there were 14 new downtrend signals over the last five days. I am referring only to the 113 equity-related ETFs

ETF Trends, Patterns and Setups – Downtrend Signals Expand and Hit Key Groups, Tech ETFs Hold Up Relatively Well (Premium) Read More »

Weekend Video – SPY Pulls back as %Above 200-day Dips, Fed Balance Sheet Surges, IWM Flags and Four ETFs Setting Up (Premium)

The market regime remains bullish, but breadth continues to wane and more breakouts are failing. Overall, ETFs related to tech, healthcare, communication services and REITs are leading, while ETFs related to industrials, materials and housing are lagging because their breakouts failed to hold. I am also watching TLT and the Dollar because

Weekend Video – SPY Pulls back as %Above 200-day Dips, Fed Balance Sheet Surges, IWM Flags and Four ETFs Setting Up (Premium) Read More »

Breadth Wanes, Small-caps Stall, Bearish Sentiment Surges, Bonds and Oil Break Out, Gold Plunges (Premium)

The stock market remains in a funk. Large-caps finally pulled back with the S&P 500 loosing a whopping 2% from high to low (Sept 2 to 14). SPY remains is a clear uptrend with a rising channel and QQQ has not touched its 50-day SMA since June 3rd. Things are different outside of the S&P 500 because

Breadth Wanes, Small-caps Stall, Bearish Sentiment Surges, Bonds and Oil Break Out, Gold Plunges (Premium) Read More »

ETF Trends, Patterns and Setups – Semis in Top 5, Pullbacks Create Mild Oversold Conditions, A Few Failed Breakouts (Premium)

The broad market environment remains bullish for stocks and the vast majority of equity related ETFs are in uptrends (bullish StochClose signals). Even so, I remain concerned with the broader market environment because breadth continues to deteriorate and a number of ETFs peaked months ago. The Russell 2000

ETF Trends, Patterns and Setups – Semis in Top 5, Pullbacks Create Mild Oversold Conditions, A Few Failed Breakouts (Premium) Read More »

Weekend Video – Breadth Continues to Wane, Lower Highs in Some Key ETFs, A Safe-haven ETF with a Bull Flag (Premium)

The S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) fell five days in a row for the first time since October 2020, scene of the last decent correction in the stock market. Signs of a correction continue to build as breadth wanes and key metrics hit their lowest levels since last year. We are also seeing corrections or downtrends

Weekend Video – Breadth Continues to Wane, Lower Highs in Some Key ETFs, A Safe-haven ETF with a Bull Flag (Premium) Read More »

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