Systematic Trading Strategies and Next Level Trading Setups
Welcome to the Friday Chart Fix! Today’s report focuses on the Healthcare sector, which sprang to life this week as the Trend Composite turned positive. This signal, however, was not the first bullish signal. Healthcare showed signs of capitulation at the end of July, there was a double bottom breakout in late August and a bull flag
Metals remain strong with gold, silver and their respective miners leading the charge. Industrial metals are also strong with copper, DBA and uranium extending on their late August breakouts. Even Bitcoin caught a bid this week with the government shutdown. Oil reacted differently with a rather sharp decline this past week. I would not read too much into the ramifications of the government shutdown
Today’s report features six stocks in leading groups. These include the MAG7, Aerospace & Defense, Robotics & Automation, Crypto, Semis and AI Data Center. The market environment is currently bullish, but there are some sizable pockets of weakness because around a third of S&P 500 stocks are below their 200-day SMAs. Chartists can increase the odds of success by focusing on stocks
in leading uptrends and within leading groups.
The weight of the evidence remains bullish for stocks with large-caps and tech stocks leading the way. Utilities, defense and big banks are also strong. Small-caps and mid-caps are more mixed. We could be in for some volatility as the headlines flow from Washington DC. What else is new? We could also be in for a rough ride because October is
SPY reached a milestone this week as it held above its 50-day SMA for more than 100 days, which was the seventh such occurrence since 2000. Even though SPY is 2.2% above its 50-day, only half of its components are above their 50-day SMAs and new lows are expanding. However, a correction in SPY could remain elusive until tech stocks and the MAG7 buckle. Elsewhere, it is a bull market in commodities and even energy is starting turn up.
Commodities are still an option, even in the AI age. Precious metals and their respective miners continue to lead the market with big moves since early August. Industrial metals are strong overall with copper catching a big bid this week. Energy is also showing promise as oil firms above its breakout zone and looks poised for a breakout. Today’s report will cover metals and oil. Note that I covered crypto and uranium on Tuesday. Symbols covered: GLD, SLV, GDX, SIL, CPER, DBB, USO, XLE, OIH, XOP, FCG.
Today’s report features two stocks with leading uptrends, two stocks with short-term breakouts and four utility stocks with breakouts. Most of these stocks come from strong areas of the stock market: software, defense and utilities. Quest Diagnostics is part of the Healthcare sector, which is lagging the broader market. Mercado Libre is an ecommerce giant in Latin America. Today’s stocks are: ADSK, DGX, MELI, DRS, AEE, CNP, ETR and EVRG.
The weight of the evidence remains bullish for stocks, but this is not a bull market that lifts all boats. Strength is concentrated in three sectors: Technology, Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services. Outside of these sectors, I am also seeing leadership in precious metals, industrial metals, clean energy, aerospace-defense, big banks and telecom. Today’s report will show some trends and setups for ETFs
The bull run continues with large-caps and large-cap techs leading the charge. SPY, QQQ and XLK hit fresh new highs this week. Breadth is strong enough to support a bull market with 62.80% of S&P 500 stocks above their 200-day SMAs. With new highs in SPY, QQQ and IWM, this percentage, however, is relatively subdued. In a strong bull market, I would expect
There are two stock markets. First, we have the large-cap driven ETFs, such as SPY and QQQ, where the top ten stocks account for a disproportionate share. Second, we have the rest of the stock market, which covers the other 490 stocks in the S&P 500 or the other 90 stocks in QQQ
Bonds, precious metals, industrial metals and Bitcoin all moved higher in September. Throw in stocks and we have bull markets almost everywhere. Bonds extended on their late June signal, gold and silver extended on their late August breakouts, and Bitcoin broke out of a falling flag this week. Next week could bring fireworks
The S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) remains in a confirmed uptrend with a new high on Wednesday. SPY edged higher on Tuesday and Wednesday, but there were more declining stocks than advancing stocks on both days. Participation is wearing thin
Welcome to the Friday Chart Fix! Bonds are surging, but not outperforming stocks, which is positive for stocks. Mid-caps show the most internal strength, but the Russell 2000 ETF is outperforming the S&P MidCap 400 SPDR. Healthcare breadth improved with a key indicator crossing the 50% threshold and XLV broke its
This report features stocks with uptrends and bullish setups. We start with Coindesk as it makes one step backward after two steps forward. Attention then turns to short-term consolidation patterns in DoorDash, Gilead, Howmet, Kratos and Palantir. MKS Inc is tracing out a head-and-shoulders and Veeva Systems reversed within a bigger bullish consolidation.
Today’s report starts with one paragraph and one chart summing up current market conditions, which are bullish. Techs are lagging the last five weeks, but other parts of the market are picking up the slack. Attention then turns to ETFs with bullish setups or signals. ETF related to Healthcare, Insurance and Blockchain
Welcome to the Friday Chart Fix! Today’s report starts with a bullish breadth indicator and the level to watch going forward. We then turn to the strongest sector: Communication Services. It has been on fire since May and continues to lead. Overall, stocks are in good shape because the EW Technology sector is trading above resistance
SPY, QQQ and XLK are in uptrends with the mid-late August lows marking first support. Support breaks would reverse the short-term uptrends and argue for a corrective period.
Precious metals continue to lead the financial markets as gold, silver and their respective miners hit new highs. The recent breakouts were not a surprise because bullish continuation patterns formed in August. We are also seeing continued strength in Base Metals, as well as a recent breakout in Copper. Uranium extended on its breakout, but Bitcoin remains in corrective mode.
This report features stocks with tradable setups or breakouts. Each chart features an analysis checklist covering the trend, relative performance, condition, pattern at work, re-evaluation level and special considerations. Uptrends and bullish continuation patterns are the maintain, but reversal candidates are also featured when appropriate.
Even though stocks are ripe for a corrective period, the weight of the evidence supports a bull market. As such, a pullback would be a considered as a correction within the bull market. SPY is in a leading uptrend, 60+ percent of stocks are above their 200-day SMAs and yield spreads are narrow. In addition, short-term rates are falling, which suggest a dovish Fed.
The long-term trend is up for the major index ETFs, breadth indicators are majority bullish and yield spreads remain narrow. These three items support the bull market for stocks. Short-term, however, signs are emerging that a correction could be coming. First, QQQ and the Technology sector show relative weakness the last five weeks. Second, stocks
Welcome to the Friday Chart Fix. Today’s report starts with the percentage of stocks above their 200-day SMAs, which hit a multi-month high as uptrends expand. The Technology SPDR is above its 200-day, but consolidating the last four weeks as it digests big gains. Within tech, the Cybersecurity ETF broke out after a pullback and a top component
Today’s report starts with the 7-10Yr TBond ETF, which is extending higher after its June breakout. Despite this strength, inflation appears to be an issue because the Inflation-Protected Bond ETF is stronger. Attention then turns to metals with gold in a bullish consolidation and miners hitting new highs. Base metals are
SPY remains a leader with fresh new highs, but QQQ is still below its mid August high and XLK remains flat this month. Even though the latter two are still in long-term uptrends, they show relative weakness short-term and this could foreshadow a corrective period for big tech. Small-caps, mid-caps, Finance and Banks are