Recent Reports on TrendInvestorPro

-Current Analysis

New Leaders Emerge – Old Leaders Correct – Charting Corrections in Tech ETFs

A rotation is underway in the stock market. Smalls and mids are starting to outperform large-caps and large-techs. Consumer Discretionary and Finance are starting to outperform Technology and Industrials. Keep in mind that these rotations started in late August, which means they are still short-term. Tech ETFs are still outperforming long-term and remain in long-term uptrends. However

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-Current Analysis

Big Four are in Long-term Uptrends – Risk-On Environment

Stocks moved sharply higher on Friday with small-caps and mid-caps leading the charge. Friday’s big advance is not the first big move for these two groups. They also moved sharply higher on August 12th and 13th. August is shaping up to be a big month for small-caps and mid-caps. This report focuses on the big four

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-Current Analysis

Broad Breadth Model Turns Bullish – Now What?

It was a long time coming, but the Broad Breadth Model finally turned bullish as small-caps and mid-caps surged on Friday. These groups were weighing on the S&P 1500 breadth indicators. Not any more. The bullish signal means strength within the market is broadening and the systematic strategies are active.

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-Current Analysis

Comparing 2020 with 2025 – Tech ETFs Extended – KRE Support – GLD Gets Quiet

Today’s report starts by comparing the current March-August sequence with the March-August period in 2020. History does not repeat itself, but it sometimes rhymes. We then turn to four tech-related ETF that are very extended and ripe for a correction. The Regional Bank ETF helped small-caps last week and it is important that KRE holds its surge. We close with the Gold SPDR, which turned real quiet the last six days.

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-Current Analysis

SPY/QQQ Lead – Small/Mids Still Lagging – 93 days since Oversold – Mediocre Breadth

The stock market remains in risk-on mode, but the bull run is selective. SPY and QQQ tagged new highs in mid August. Even though mid-caps and small-caps surged last week, IJH and IJR remain well below their November highs and continue to lag large-caps. The new high list shows leadership concentrated in the Technology and Communication Services sectors. Narrow

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Complimentary

QQQ Overtakes QQEW – GOOGL Near High – Groups with Most Highs – Verizon Gaps

Welcome to your Friday Chart Fix. Today’s report starts with year-to-date performance for QQQ and its equal-weight brother (QQEW). We then look at the leaders within QQQ and single out Alphabet because it is close to a new high. Attention then turns to small and mid caps because they led the market this week. New highs are still sparse within the space. We then show a ranking table to find the groups with the most new highs. And finally,

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-Current Analysis

Small-caps Surge and Remain Erratic – An Oversold Zweig Breadth Indicator

Small-caps came to life this week with big moves the last two days. These moves keep the uptrends alive for the S&P SmallCap 600 SPDR and S&P MidCap 400 ETF. Both were oversold and at support just below these surges. We will also look at an oversold condition in the Zweig Breadth Thrust indicator on August 1st. Even though these moves are impressive, small-caps trade more erratic

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-Current Analysis

Uber Holds above Breakout – AbbVie Leads Healthcare – 8 More Stock Setups

Small-caps came to life this week with big moves the last two days. These moves keep the uptrends alive for the S&P SmallCap 600 SPDR and S&P MidCap 400 ETF. Both were oversold and at support just below these surges. We will also look at an oversold condition in the Zweig Breadth Thrust indicator on August 1st. Even though these moves are impressive, small-caps trade more erratic than

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-Current Analysis

SPX/NDX Breadth Bullish – Yield Spreads Narrow – 3month Yield Predicts Rate Cut

S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 breadth indicators are majority bullish, but S&P 1500 breadth remains majority bearish. Yield spreads remain narrow and show no signs of stress in the credit markets, which is bullish for stocks. Short-term rates fell to multi-month lows in early August, indicating that the Fed will cut rates. Overall, the environment for stocks is selectively bullish.

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-Current Analysis

Correction Underway – Three Indicators Show Increasing Weakness from Within

A correction is underway because equity ETFs are mixed over the past month (21 trading days). SPY and QQQ are up, but Small-caps (IJR) and Mid-caps (IJH) are down. Six of the eleven sectors are up, which means five are down. Even within the tech sector, we are seeing mixed performance because the Technology SPDR is up 3.23% and the EW Technology

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Complimentary

Friday Chart Fix – 2024 vs 2025 – Commodities with Crypto – Key Moment for IWM – The Tesla Squeeze

Welcome to your Friday Chart Fix. Today we start with the difference between the 2024 bull market and the 2025 bull run. The S&P Total Market Index ETF hit new highs in July, but 2025 breadth is not what it was in 2024. Small-caps are weighing on the broader market as the Russell 2000 ETF battles its 200-day SMA. Even though QQQ is leading the major index ETFs with a double-digit gain

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Complimentary

Narrow Leadership is a Concern, but Bear Signal Yet to Trigger

The market is rising, but relatively few stocks are doing the heavy lifting. Will leadership broaden and extend this bull run or will narrow leadership lead to weakness? Today’s report will show how chartists can use new highs and new lows to quantify leadership within the

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-Current Analysis

Four Stocks with Bullish Patterns/Breakouts Working – Including a Cloud Play

The post highlights four stocks that are in long-term uptrends and breaking out after pullbacks. First, we focus on a short-term breakout within a bigger bullish pattern. Second, we look at a flag breakout in an auto stock. Third, we feature a telecom with a wedge breakout and challenge to the rising 200-day SMA. And finally, we analyze a leading cloud stock with a bullish wedge above the rising 200-day SMA.

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-Current Analysis

Narrow Leadership – Large Percentage of Downtrends – Correction Targets

This report looks at several indicators that point to a correction. Leadership in 2025 was narrow because new highs did not expand to previous levels. We saw the percentage of stocks above their 200-day SMA increase the last few months, but these indicators were hit hard in early August. A large percentage of stocks are below their 200-day SMAs, and in long-term

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-Current Analysis

Recent Breakouts and Short-term Leaders Favor Yield and Risk Aversion (w/ video)

The risk profile changed in the market over the last two weeks. Tech ETFs led the market into the July highs, but we are seeing leadership emerge in some defensive areas the last two weeks. Namely, the MLP, Utilities and Bond ETFs are breaking out. XLU is leading the pack with a surge to new highs. Lower Treasury yields are proving a lift for the

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-Current Analysis

Tech ETFs Trigger Trailing Stops – Remain Vulnerable to Correction (w/ video)

As noted in reports last week, conditions are ripe for a correction in the stock market and tech-related ETFs are seriously extended. We cannot predict the length, duration or path for a correction, but we can identify periods when the odds favor a correction and trade accordingly. This means taking some money off the table and/or waiting patiently for a robust setup.

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