All Reports and Signal Pages
(most recent at top)
Chart Trader – SPY and QQQ Hit Moment of truth, Retail and Banks Lead Lower, Breadth Wanes, Gold Perks Up (Premium)
It ain’t over until large-caps buckle. SPY and QQQ have yet to break short-term support. These two are holding the market up because we are seeing widespread weakness outside of a few large-caps. The S&P MidCap 400 SPDR and Russell 2000 ETF hit their lowest (closing) levels since late June. The Retail SPDR hit its lowest (closing
Getting Started with TrendInvestorPro!
This page provides an overview of my philosophy, the analysis tools that I use, the commentary schedule and the offerings on the premium page. Focusing on ETFs, TrendinvestorPro offers an objective and systematic approach to the analysis process. Note that there are three possibilities when we analyze a chart
IWM Closes below Long-term Moving Average. Does it Matter? – with Video (Free)
The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) closed below the 200-day SMA for the first time since, well, June 1st. The last cross was not that long ago and recent crosses simply resulted in whipsaws. Truth be told, 200-day SMA crosses are not that relevant for IWM.
Chart Trader – Setting Key Level for SPY and QQQ, a Key Tech ETF Breaks, Measuring Risk-On and Risk-Off (Premium)
There are no changes in the broad market conditions. SPY and QQQ are in short-term uptrends and their breakouts held as both bounced over the last four days. These bounces affirm short-term support and keep
Breadth is Not Keeping Pace with the Bounce – with video (Free)
The S&P 500 SPDR bounced the last three weeks, but we did not see an improvement in breadth. Weak breadth is also reflected in performance for mid-caps and small-caps, which are lagging. Even so, SPY and QQQ are in short-term uptrends and I am watching the tech sector for clues.
Chart Trader – SPY and QQQ Affirm Supports, Breadth Indicators Lag, Three ETFs and Five Stock Setups (Premium)
SPY and QQQ fell back after their breakouts and bounced off broken resistance levels. These short-term bounces affirm supports and keep the short-term uptrends alive. It is important to monitor these two because the rest of the market looks rather shaky. Breadth is not keeping pace, September seasonality is here and mid-caps are lagging.
Chart Trader – A Fragile/Split Market, Monitoring Breakouts, Stock Setups for Chemicals, Steel, Gaming and Healthcare (Premium)
The market looks fragile and is definitely split. Large-cap techs are leading, small-caps are lagging and mid-caps are caught in between. The long-term trends are up for SPY and QQQ as both hit new highs in July. The S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (MDY) and Russell 2000 ETF (IWM), in contrast, did not break their early February highs. They are largely range bound
The Key to the August Breakouts – with Video (Free)
Stocks surged in the second half of August with several ETFs breaking out of corrective patterns, such as falling flags or falling wedges. Even though September is a seasonally weak month, these breakouts are bullish until proven otherwise. Today’s commentary will analyze the breakout in the Technology SPDR (XLK).
Chart Trader – Seasonality, Yield Spreads, Long and Short Trend, 3 Healthcare Relative ETFs and 6 Stocks (Premium)
The chart below shows 25-year seasonality for the S&P 500. There are three strong periods and three weak periods. The strong periods are mid March to early May, July, and mid-October to yearend (green arrows). The seasonally weak periods are January, mid-February to mid-March
Seasonality versus Simply Market Timing (Public)
According to the Stock Trader’s Almanac, the best six-month period runs from November to April. The worst six-month period runs from May to October. This is where the phrase “sell in May and go away” comes from. There is some validity to the best
Chart Trader – SPY Surges above Pop-and-Drop High, XLK is the One to Watch – Setups in 6 ETFs and 6 Stocks (Premium)
The big trend is the dominant force at work and SPY remains in an uptrend since the higher high in early February. Seasonal patterns, even when strong, are secondary to the bigger trend. Seasonal weakness in September could still materialized
Chart Trader – SPY and QQQ Projections, GLD Perks Up, Four Semiconductor Stocks to Watch (Premium)
SPY peaked on July 27th with a big outside reversal day (red arrow) and broke short-term support with a gap-decline on August 2nd. SPY and the major index ETFs then fell into mid August and became
Sectors with Lowest Correlation, Good and Bad Trades with Oversold Setups (Premium)
Today’s report will show two more examples using the Momentum Composite and StochRSI. The Momentum Composite identifies oversold conditions and StochRSI signals a subsequent
Market/ETF Video and Report – Market Turns Mixed, Retail and Banks Extend Lower, Healthcare and Defense Hold Up (Premium)
The S&P 500 SPDR and Nasdaq 100 ETF fell sharply in August, but these declines look like corrections within bigger uptrends. However, the S&P MidCap 400 SPDR and Russell 2000 ETF also fell. These two, in contrast, are in long-term trading ranges and immediate downtrends. We
Market Report – Trading SPY and QQQ with the Momentum Composite, StochRSI and the ATR Trailing Stop (Premium)
A classic trading technique is to look for short-term oversold conditions within longer term uptrends. Short-term oversold conditions provide opportunities to partake in the long