Systematic Trading Strategies and Next Level Trading Setups
The weight of the evidence is bullish for stocks. SPY is trading less than 1.5% below its 52-week high and well above the rising 200-day SMA. This means there is a long-term uptrend in the most important benchmark for US stocks. Within the S&P 500, 63% of component
Monitoring Breakouts in Tech – Utes Set Up – Housing Holds Breakout – Banks/Retail Lead Read More »
Looking to get a jump on a breakout? During long-term uptrends, short-term oversold conditions present opportunities to trade in the direction prevailing uptrend, which is the dominant force at work. Today we will show how to identify the long-term uptrend using the Trend Composite and find oversold setups using the Momentum Composite.
Using Trend Signals and Oversold Conditions to Get a Jump on the Breakout Read More »
Stocks are performing great since August, but metals related ETFs are performing even better. Bonds are lagging with a breakdown in TLT. Today’s report covers GLD, SLV, GDX, SIL, SRUUF, URA, CPER, DBA, IEF, TLT, IBIT
Silver Leads Surge in Metals-Related ETFs – Uranium Holds Breakout – Bonds Break Down Read More »
The Market Regime page defines the stock market environment: bull or bear market. Three trend/breadth models quantify performance for stocks in the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and S&P 1500. Yield spreads capture credit market conditions, while Treasury yield trends reflect Fed policy.
S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and S&P 1500 Breadth Models – Yields Spreads – Fed Policy Read More »
Today report covers stocks from the MAG7, networking industry, industrials sector and healthcare sector. Names featured: Amazon (AMZN), Arista Networks (ANET), Johnson Controls (JCI), Tempus AI (TEM), AbbVie (ABBV)
Amazon AMZN, Arista ANET, Johnson Controls JCI, Tempus AI TEM & AbbVie ABBV Read More »
The stock market remains quite mixed, but the pockets of strength are still larger than the pockets of weakness. Some 60% of S&P 500 stocks are above their 200-day SMAs, but this means 40% are below, and in long-term downtrends. There is a large pocket of
Tech ETFs Hold Flag Breakouts – Follow Up on Housing, Banks and Retail Read More »
Market breadth is not very strong, but it is strong enough to support a bull market. At the very least, key breadth metrics are not net bearish. Today’s Chart Fix shows how to quantify signals using new highs, new lows and the percentage of stocks with golden crosses. We then dissect the breakout in the Homebuilders ETF, which could hold the key to broadening leadership in 2026.
Breadth not Ideal, but Net Bullish – Homebuilder Breakout could Bode well for 2026 Read More »
Today’s report covers Gold, Silver, Gold/Silver Miners, Copper, Based Metals, Uranium, Bonds, Bitcoin and the Aerospace & Defense ETF, which has a bullish setup working. The chart below shows the precious metals complex leading since August. In fact, all ETFs on
Gold/Silver Extend on Breakouts – Uranium Sets Up – Aero-Defense ETF Oversold Read More »
The Market Regime page defines the stock market environment: bull or bear market. Three trend/breadth models quantify performance for stocks in the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and S&P 1500. Yield spreads capture credit market conditions, while Treasury yield trends reflect Fed policy.
S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and S&P 1500 Breadth Models – Yields Spreads – Fed Policy Read More »
Autodesk (ADSK) provides software and services for product development and manufacturing to the industrials sector. It has been a choppy ride since July, but the overall uptrend remains intact, and
Autodesk ADSK, Quanta PWR, Freeport McMoRan FCX, Norfolk NSC and CSX Read More »
The weight of the evidence remains bullish for stocks, despite sizable pockets of weakness within the stock market. SPY is above its rising 200-day SMA and held its October low (650). The most important benchmark for US stocks remains strong. SPX %Above 200-day SMA bounced off the 50% level and is currently at 60%. The cup
Successful entries are rarely accidents. The best trades come from a repeatable process that starts with long term trend identification, a relative performance assessment and a robust chart setup. Use this three-step framework to filter names, focus on leaders, and time entries with favorable reward to risk ratios.
The stock market moved from offense to defense over the last few weeks. Speculative tech names led the market into October, but defensive names took over in November. Healthcare, consumer staples and gold are holding strong, while the ARK Innovation ETF breaks support and Microsoft
Asset class performance since August is quite telling. Precious metals related ETFs are leading the charge with the Gold Miners ETF (GDX) up some 46%. Copper (CPER), Base Metals (DBB) and Uranium (SRUUF) are in the middle of the pack with double digit gains. Stocks are at the low end with
Copper Consolidates as DBB becomes Oversold – Bond and Uranium ETFs Set Up Read More »
The Market Regime page defines the stock market environment: bull or bear market. Three trend/breadth models quantify performance for stocks in the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and S&P 1500. Yield spreads capture credit market conditions, while Treasury yield trends reflect Fed policy.
S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and S&P 1500 Breadth Models – Yields Spreads – Fed Policy Read More »
I like to see three timeframes when looking for trading setups. Today’s charts show a daily candlestick chart in the top window with the 200-day SMA, %B (20,2) and the price-relative (symbol/RSP ratio). %B is used to find oversold conditions within an uptrend, while the price-relative measures relative performance.
Three Bullish Setups: Semiconductor, Cybersecurity and Gaming Software Read More »
Cracks are appearing in the technology sector and Nasdaq 100. This is an important development because these two were responsible for most of the gains within the S&P 500. Housing, regional banks and consumer discretionary were already leading lower.
Tech Weakness Expands – Bearish Momentum Thrusts – Healthcare and Utes Hold Up Read More »
The market shows more signs of risk aversion with breakdowns in technology-related ETFs, strength in insurance and bonds, and a downtrend signal in Bitcoin. The Semiconductor ETF is holding up, but the Software ETF and ARK Innovation ETF are breaking down. Money is rotating from
Cracks within Tech – Bonds Outperform Bitcoin – Insurance Names Catch Strong Bid Read More »
Precious metals continue to lead the pack with the Silver ETF (SLV) sporting the biggest gain over the last three months (+40%). Industrial metals are also outperforming stocks with the Copper ETF (CPER) and DB Base Metals ETF (DBB) up over 10%. QQQ is up a measly 7%. Even bonds are up with TLT gaining 3.65% and
Nucor (NUE) is steel stock that is part of the Materials SPDR (XLB) and Metals & Mining SPDR (XME). XLB is a lagging sector because of the chemical industry, but XME is a leading group with a 65% year-to-date gain. The DJ US Steel Index ($DJUSST) is also leading with a 24.6% gain this year.
Nucor NUE, Danaher DHR, Pfizer PFE, Northrop Grumman NOC, Norfolk Southern NSC and AES Read More »
