Data-Driven Strategies and Next Level Analysis
Chart Trader is a comprehensive weekly report and video featuring broad market analysis, leading groups (ETFs), trading ideas and more. (scroll down for details)
System Trader
Super charge your portfolio by harnessing the momentum edge with System Trader. We combine market timing models, trend filters and momentum ranks to create portfolios that generate above-average returns with lower risk. Our systematic strategies start with breadth models to define market conditions for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100. We then use trend filters and proprietary momentum ranks to trade the leading stocks in each index. These strategies exit stocks when they no longer lead and rotate into the new leaders. There is always a horse in the race.
System Trader includes:
- Broad breadth model for stock market timing and risk assessment.
- Trend-Momentum Rotation Strategy trading S&P 500 stocks
- Trend-Momentum Rotation Strategy trading Nasdaq 100 stocks
- Ranking Tables for S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Stocks
- We post weekly strategy signals and updates every Saturday morning
Trend-Momentum Strategy Performance
The image below shows performance metrics for the Trend-Momentum Strategies that trade S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 stocks. Both strategies delivered solid double digit returns (>14% per year). In addition to higher returns, the drawdowns (risk) were much lower than buy-and-hold, which had an average drawdown of 30%. Note that past performance does not guarantee future performance.
Equity Curve in Steady Uptrend
The next image shows the equity curve for the Dual Momentum Rotation Strategy that trades S&P 500 stocks. It shows steady growth and the ability to preserve cash during bear markets. Notice how the equity curve was flat when buy-and-hold experienced large drawdowns (2008, 2015, 2020, 2022). This strategy performed very well in 2024 as the equity curve surged to a new high.
Broad Market Timing
As the equity curve above confirms, broad market timing is key to any strategy. We need to preserve capital during bear markets and run with the bulls during bull markets. The Composite Breadth Model aggregates breadth indicator signals for a “weight of the evidence” approach to market timing. Conditions are bullish when this model is positive and bearish when negative. This model tells us when to be fully invested in our strategies (bull market) and when to move to the sidelines (bear market).
Using SPY as the trading vehicle, the Composite Breadth Model was invested 74% of the time since 2003. It generated a Compound Annual Return of 8% and produced the lowest Average Drawdown. This means it did a good job of preserving capital during bear markets. Also note that there were fewer trades than the 5/200 SMA cross and a higher Win Rate. The Composite Breadth Model will keep you on the right side of the market.
Chart Trader
Stay on top of the markets and catch the big moves with Chart Trader. Arthur Hill, a Chartered Market Technician (CMT), provides expert technical analysis in simple and easy-to-understand terms. Using a top-down approach, his analysis keeps traders on the right side of the market, and in the right places. Arthur’s chart strategy focuses on tradable pullbacks within leading uptrends. This strategy produces setups with above-average reward potential and lower risk.
Our comprehensive weekly reports and videos include:
- Signal summary table for timing models
- Key technical events in the markets
- Broad market analysis (trend, condition, character)
- Leading groups (sector and industry group ETFs)
- Trend analysis and trading setups for leading stocks
- We publish reports and videos every Friday morning
(plenty of time for weekend reading)
Bonus Reports and Videos
Subscribe to Chart Trader and get immediate access to these two educational reports:
- An in-depth report covering eight trend-following indicators. These include Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channels, Donchian Channels, CCI, the Exponential Slope and more. We explain how the indicators work, show chart examples and offers tweaks to improve performance. This report includes a comprehensive video for further understanding.
- An in-depth report covering dozens of breadth indicators and access to the Essential Breadth Indicator ChartList (for StockCharts subscribers). These include Advance-Decline Percent, Breadth Thrusts, High-Low Percent, %Above SMAs, Bullish Percent Indexes and more. We explain how the indicators work and how to identify signals. This report also includes a comprehensive video.
Arthur developed and refined his trading processes with over three decades of experience. His strategies are designed to survive bear markets by preserving capital and outperform during bull markets by focusing on leaders. To this end, TrendInvestorPro provides data-driven trading strategies and actionable chart analysis to help you take your trading success to the next level.
Arthur holds the Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation from the CMT Association.
His research appears in the Journal of Technical Analysis: Finding Consistent Trends with Strong Momentum.
He wrote a book that teaches new traders how to trade in the direction of the bigger trend: Define the Trend and Trade the Trend.
Arthur’s work can also be seen on StockCharts.com, Financial Sense, Traders.com and Stocks & Commodities Magazine.
Trading and investing involves risk. Past performance does not guarantee future performance and there will be drawdowns (losing periods) along the way.
Testimonials
Frequently asked questions
There are two separate subscriptions: ChartTrader and SystemTrader. ChartTrader is for chart analysis and trading setups. SystemTrader is for quantified strategies and signals.
We publish on Tuesdays and Thursdays before the market open (by 8:30AM ET)
Our time horizon is anywhere from a few weeks to several months. We are focused on the bigger trends at work and a few days is usually not enough to change our assessment.
We post weekly signals at the end of the trading week (usually Saturday mornings). Strategies with daily signals post the next day before the market open (before 6AM ET).
The Composite Breadth Model is updated every Wednesday before the market open (by 8AM ET). We will update the model should it change between signals and post a report.
Yes! We want to be involved in names that show persistent and consistent uptrends, and that have strong relative momentum. The momentum-rotation strategies capture the leaders with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100.
System Trader tracks the performance for the quantified strategies and the Composite Breadth Model. Chart Trader does not publish a track record because I do not trade all ideas presented. Self-directed traders should assess the ideas for themselves and decide which fit their criteria. See our Disclaimer and Terms of Use for more details.
Yes, you can cancel at any time. We do not offer prorated refunds and your subscription will end with the billing cycle. Cancel using the Support link at the upper right of each page.
Disclaimer: This information is issued solely for informational and educational purposes and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. None of the information contained on this blog constitutes a recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. From time to time, the content creator or its affiliates may hold positions or other interests in securities mentioned on this blog. The stocks presented are not to be considered a recommendation to buy any stock. This material does not take into account your particular investment objectives. Investors should consult their own financial or investment adviser before trading or acting upon any information provided. Past performance is not indicative of future results.