Systematic Trading Strategies and Next Level Trading Setups
Trading short-term patterns can be messy business with whipsaws, failed breakouts and support breaks. This is especially true for ETFs, which have dozens of moving parts (stocks). Each stock has its
Market conditions tell us when to be invested in stocks and when not to be invested. Chartists can filter the noise and define market conditions using three simple indicators. They are the long-term trend for the S&P 500, the
Precious metals continue to lead. Not just one or two, but all precious metals and their respective miners. All are up more than 30% since August. ….Symbols Covered: IEF, SPY, GLD, SLV, GDX, SIL, CPER, DBB, COPX, SRUUF, URA, IBIT
The Market Regime page defines the stock market environment: bull or bear market. Three trend/breadth models quantify performance for stocks in the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and S&P 1500. Yield spreads capture credit market conditions, while Treasury yield trends reflect Fed policy.
This report features stock setups covering Viking Therapeutics (VKTX), First Solar (FSLR), ON Semi (ON), AES Corp (AES) and United Rentals (URI)
The weight of the evidence is bullish for stocks. SPY is trading less than 1.5% below its 52-week high and well above the rising 200-day SMA. This means there is a long-term uptrend in the most important benchmark for US stocks. Within the S&P 500, 63% of component
Looking to get a jump on a breakout? During long-term uptrends, short-term oversold conditions present opportunities to trade in the direction prevailing uptrend, which is the dominant force at work. Today we will show how to identify the long-term uptrend using the Trend Composite and find oversold setups using the Momentum Composite.
Stocks are performing great since August, but metals related ETFs are performing even better. Bonds are lagging with a breakdown in TLT. Today’s report covers GLD, SLV, GDX, SIL, SRUUF, URA, CPER, DBA, IEF, TLT, IBIT
The Market Regime page defines the stock market environment: bull or bear market. Three trend/breadth models quantify performance for stocks in the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and S&P 1500. Yield spreads capture credit market conditions, while Treasury yield trends reflect Fed policy.
Today report covers stocks from the MAG7, networking industry, industrials sector and healthcare sector. Names featured: Amazon (AMZN), Arista Networks (ANET), Johnson Controls (JCI), Tempus AI (TEM), AbbVie (ABBV)
The stock market remains quite mixed, but the pockets of strength are still larger than the pockets of weakness. Some 60% of S&P 500 stocks are above their 200-day SMAs, but this means 40% are below, and in long-term downtrends. There is a large pocket of
Market breadth is not very strong, but it is strong enough to support a bull market. At the very least, key breadth metrics are not net bearish. Today’s Chart Fix shows how to quantify signals using new highs, new lows and the percentage of stocks with golden crosses. We then dissect the breakout in the Homebuilders ETF, which could hold the key to broadening leadership in 2026.
Today’s report covers Gold, Silver, Gold/Silver Miners, Copper, Based Metals, Uranium, Bonds, Bitcoin and the Aerospace & Defense ETF, which has a bullish setup working. The chart below shows the precious metals complex leading since August. In fact, all ETFs on
The Market Regime page defines the stock market environment: bull or bear market. Three trend/breadth models quantify performance for stocks in the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and S&P 1500. Yield spreads capture credit market conditions, while Treasury yield trends reflect Fed policy.
Autodesk (ADSK) provides software and services for product development and manufacturing to the industrials sector. It has been a choppy ride since July, but the overall uptrend remains intact, and
The weight of the evidence remains bullish for stocks, despite sizable pockets of weakness within the stock market. SPY is above its rising 200-day SMA and held its October low (650). The most important benchmark for US stocks remains strong. SPX %Above 200-day SMA bounced off the 50% level and is currently at 60%. The cup
Successful entries are rarely accidents. The best trades come from a repeatable process that starts with long term trend identification, a relative performance assessment and a robust chart setup. Use this three-step framework to filter names, focus on leaders, and time entries with favorable reward to risk ratios.
The stock market moved from offense to defense over the last few weeks. Speculative tech names led the market into October, but defensive names took over in November. Healthcare, consumer staples and gold are holding strong, while the ARK Innovation ETF breaks support and Microsoft
Asset class performance since August is quite telling. Precious metals related ETFs are leading the charge with the Gold Miners ETF (GDX) up some 46%. Copper (CPER), Base Metals (DBB) and Uranium (SRUUF) are in the middle of the pack with double digit gains. Stocks are at the low end with
The Market Regime page defines the stock market environment: bull or bear market. Three trend/breadth models quantify performance for stocks in the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and S&P 1500. Yield spreads capture credit market conditions, while Treasury yield trends reflect Fed policy.
I like to see three timeframes when looking for trading setups. Today’s charts show a daily candlestick chart in the top window with the 200-day SMA, %B (20,2) and the price-relative (symbol/RSP ratio). %B is used to find oversold conditions within an uptrend, while the price-relative measures relative performance.
Cracks are appearing in the technology sector and Nasdaq 100. This is an important development because these two were responsible for most of the gains within the S&P 500. Housing, regional banks and consumer discretionary were already leading lower.
The market shows more signs of risk aversion with breakdowns in technology-related ETFs, strength in insurance and bonds, and a downtrend signal in Bitcoin. The Semiconductor ETF is holding up, but the Software ETF and ARK Innovation ETF are breaking down. Money is rotating from
Precious metals continue to lead the pack with the Silver ETF (SLV) sporting the biggest gain over the last three months (+40%). Industrial metals are also outperforming stocks with the Copper ETF (CPER) and DB Base Metals ETF (DBB) up over 10%. QQQ is up a measly 7%. Even bonds are up with TLT gaining 3.65% and