Systematic Trading Strategies and Next Level Trading Setups
There are two stock markets. First, we have the large-cap driven ETFs, such as SPY and QQQ, where the top ten stocks account for a disproportionate share. Second, we have the rest of the stock market, which covers the other 490 stocks in the S&P 500 or the other 90 stocks in QQQ
Key ETFs and Indicators to Watch for Market Health Read More »
Bonds, precious metals, industrial metals and Bitcoin all moved higher in September. Throw in stocks and we have bull markets almost everywhere. Bonds extended on their late June signal, gold and silver extended on their late August breakouts, and Bitcoin broke out of a falling flag this week. Next week could bring fireworks
Bonds Extend High – Gold/Silver Miners Overextended – BitCoin Breaks Out Read More »
The S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) remains in a confirmed uptrend with a new high on Wednesday. SPY edged higher on Tuesday and Wednesday, but there were more declining stocks than advancing stocks on both days. Participation is wearing thin
Small and Mids Lead – Banks Hold Up – Tech ETFs Mixed – XLU Breakout Read More »
Welcome to the Friday Chart Fix! Bonds are surging, but not outperforming stocks, which is positive for stocks. Mid-caps show the most internal strength, but the Russell 2000 ETF is outperforming the S&P MidCap 400 SPDR. Healthcare breadth improved with a key indicator crossing the 50% threshold and XLV broke its
TLT Still Lagging, Best Hunting Grounds, IWM Starts Leading, Healthcare and Biogen Read More »
The Market Regime page defines the stock market environment: bull or bear market. Three trend/breadth models quantify performance for stocks in the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and S&P 1500. Yield spreads capture credit market conditions, while Treasury yield trends reflect Fed policy.
S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and S&P 1500 Breadth Models – Yields Spreads – Fed Policy Read More »
This report features stocks with uptrends and bullish setups. We start with Coindesk as it makes one step backward after two steps forward. Attention then turns to short-term consolidation patterns in DoorDash, Gilead, Howmet, Kratos and Palantir. MKS Inc is tracing out a head-and-shoulders and Veeva Systems reversed within a bigger bullish consolidation.
Stocks: COIN, DASH, GILD, HWM, KTOS, MKSI, PLTR and VEEV Read More »
Today’s report starts with one paragraph and one chart summing up current market conditions, which are bullish. Techs are lagging the last five weeks, but other parts of the market are picking up the slack. Attention then turns to ETFs with bullish setups or signals. ETF related to Healthcare, Insurance and Blockchain
Market Conditions in One Chart – Plus XLV, IHI, XLU, KIE, URA, $BTCUSD, IBIT, BLOK Read More »
Welcome to the Friday Chart Fix! Today’s report starts with a bullish breadth indicator and the level to watch going forward. We then turn to the strongest sector: Communication Services. It has been on fire since May and continues to lead. Overall, stocks are in good shape because the EW Technology sector is trading above resistance
New Highs vs Lows, XLC Goes Beast Mode – Risk is On – Dissecting Gold – A Cyber Setup Read More »
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S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and S&P 1500 Breadth Models – Yields Spreads – Fed Policy Read More »
SPY, QQQ and XLK are in uptrends with the mid-late August lows marking first support. Support breaks would reverse the short-term uptrends and argue for a corrective period.
SPY, QQQ and XLK Maintain Uptrends – 10 Tech ETFs – IJH, IJR, IWM, KRE, XLU Read More »
Precious metals continue to lead the financial markets as gold, silver and their respective miners hit new highs. The recent breakouts were not a surprise because bullish continuation patterns formed in August. We are also seeing continued strength in Base Metals, as well as a recent breakout in Copper. Uranium extended on its breakout, but Bitcoin remains in corrective mode.
Alternative ETFs – GLD, SLV, GDX, SIL, CPER, DBB, SRUUF (Uranium), $BTCUSD and IBIT Read More »
This report features stocks with tradable setups or breakouts. Each chart features an analysis checklist covering the trend, relative performance, condition, pattern at work, re-evaluation level and special considerations. Uptrends and bullish continuation patterns are the maintain, but reversal candidates are also featured when appropriate.
Seven Stocks – AMZN, BROS, DIS, DRS, ELF, EW and QCOM Read More »
Even though stocks are ripe for a corrective period, the weight of the evidence supports a bull market. As such, a pullback would be a considered as a correction within the bull market. SPY is in a leading uptrend, 60+ percent of stocks are above their 200-day SMAs and yield spreads are narrow. In addition, short-term rates are falling, which suggest a dovish Fed.
SPY in Leading Uptrend – 60+ Percent of Stocks above 200-day – Spreads Narrow Read More »
The long-term trend is up for the major index ETFs, breadth indicators are majority bullish and yield spreads remain narrow. These three items support the bull market for stocks. Short-term, however, signs are emerging that a correction could be coming. First, QQQ and the Technology sector show relative weakness the last five weeks. Second, stocks
102 Days Since SPY Oversold – NDX Stocks Lagging – XLK Relative Weakness Read More »
Welcome to the Friday Chart Fix. Today’s report starts with the percentage of stocks above their 200-day SMAs, which hit a multi-month high as uptrends expand. The Technology SPDR is above its 200-day, but consolidating the last four weeks as it digests big gains. Within tech, the Cybersecurity ETF broke out after a pullback and a top component
The Market Regime page defines the stock market environment: bull or bear market. Three trend/breadth models quantify performance for stocks in the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and S&P 1500. Yield spreads capture credit market conditions, while Treasury yield trends reflect Fed policy.
S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and S&P 1500 Breadth Models – Yields Spreads – Fed Policy Read More »
Today’s report starts with the 7-10Yr TBond ETF, which is extending higher after its June breakout. Despite this strength, inflation appears to be an issue because the Inflation-Protected Bond ETF is stronger. Attention then turns to metals with gold in a bullish consolidation and miners hitting new highs. Base metals are
Gold/Copper Wind Up – Miners Hit New Highs – Uranium in Play – Bitcoin Sets Up Read More »
SPY remains a leader with fresh new highs, but QQQ is still below its mid August high and XLK remains flat this month. Even though the latter two are still in long-term uptrends, they show relative weakness short-term and this could foreshadow a corrective period for big tech. Small-caps, mid-caps, Finance and Banks are
Smalls/Mids Lead – Biggest XLF Holding Breaks Out – Banks Strong – Utes Setup Up Read More »
Today’s report features ten stocks with uptrends and trading setups or recent breakouts. These charts cover 15 months of price action in the main window and two indicators. The price-relative (AAPL/RSP ratio) measures relative performance and %B identifies short-term oversold conditions. The main focus is on price action since the April low and the
Ten Stocks – Leading Uptrends, Tradable Pullbacks, Consolidations and Breakouts Read More »
Analysis starts with the long-term trends and support levels for SPY and QQQ. Upside participation expanded last week as the percentage of stocks above the 200-day surge. New highs are the next item to watch. Breadth improved as new leaders emerged and tech ETFs corrective. Watch XLK, SMH and MAGS for clues on the correction. There are also three stock setups.
StockMarketTV – Breadth Expands – Tech ETFs Correct – 3 Stock Setups Read More »
