Systematic Trading Strategies and Next Level Trading Setups
This report starts a long-term look at the Nikkei, which started breaking down in July. US stocks rebounded after sharp declines on August 5th, but they have yet to fully recover and remain in short-term downtrends. We will look at the corrections in SPY, QQQ and MAGS.
Increasing uncertainty is causing the markets to reprice. SPY, QQQ and IWM hit new highs in July and were priced for the best of all worlds. We then got a shakeup in the presidential race, a weak jobs report and a route in the Nikkei. Markets do not like uncertainty and
Selling pressure broadened over the last three days with the broader market (S&P 500 stocks) joining tech-related stocks (Nasdaq 100 stocks) in the sell off. The long-term trends are still up for SPY and QQQ. In addition, the Composite Breadth Model and the SPX-NDX Breadth model remain
This report starts with the short-term breakouts in SPY and QQQ. Battered semiconductor stocks led the surge and we will look at the Semiconductor ETF today. We also cover the Software and Cybersecurity ETFs, which represent
This report starts with the long-term breadth indicators to confirm the bull market. Overall, S&P 500 stocks are stronger than Nasdaq 100 stocks. SPY and QQQ are in the midst of pullbacks and have yet to become oversold. Thus, they could have further to go before bouncing. We will then update the breakouts in
This report starts with a long-term look at the QQQ chart and the seasonality pattern for the S&P 500. Earnings season is in full gear, but the reactions to these reports is decidedly negative. SPY is in
This report starts with the long-term breadth indicators to confirm the bull market. Overall, S&P 500 stocks are stronger than Nasdaq 100 stocks. Our short-term breadth indicators are also bullish. QQQ is in the midst of a pullback and has yet to become
This report starts with the big breadth surge in small-caps. We put this surge into perspective and show what it means going forward. The surge in small-caps, however, was offset with outsized declines in large-cap tech stocks. We will show charts for MAGS and XLK
Today’s report starts with breadth using the %Above 200-day and 26-week Hi-Lo% indicators. We then confirm the short-term uptrend with 4-wk Hi-Lo%. Attention then turns to breakouts in equal-weights, mids and smalls. We also feature several non-tech stocks breaking out and reversing their downswings.
It is a bull market for large-caps and large-cap techs. The S&P 500 Equal-weight ETF is in a long-term uptrend, but is lagging because it peaked in March. Even though I am seeing less participation in this bull market, I am not seeing serious weakness.
Today’s report covers the bull market indicators, short-term market indicators, the big moves in Nvidia, Broadcom, Dell and Super Microcomputer, the biotech Surge helping Healthcare and two Bitcoin related names. Stocks: DataDog, Lockheed Martin, Cigna and Diamondback Energy.
There is no change in the overall market condition. Large-caps and large-cap techs continue to lead the market. SPY, QQQ, MAGS, the Technology SPDR and the Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) hit fresh
The weight of the evidence is bullish for large-caps and large-cap techs. SPY represents large-caps and QQQ represents large-cap tech stocks. Even though there are 1000s of “other” stocks out there, these stocks represent the 800 pound
The Fed and CPI are in the past and large-cap techs continue to lead the market highs. SPY, QQQ, MAGS, the Technology SPDR, the Communication Services SPDR and the Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) hit 52-week highs to lead the
The weight of the evidence is bullish for the long-term, but the short-term evidence is a bit mixed. SPX 4wk HiLo% plunged below -30% on May 29th, but NDX 4wk HiLo% did not confirm this signal. Thus, the combo remains net bullish
SPY and QQQ surged to new highs on Wednesday and continue to lead the market. Note that SPY and QQQ were the only major index ETFs to hit new highs this week. The S&P SmallCap 600 SPDR (IJR) tagged a new high in May, but RSP, MDY and IWM
The weight of the evidence is bullish for the long-term, but the short-term evidence is turning quite mixed. SPX 4wk High-Low Percent plunged below -30% last week and fewer than 50% of Nasdaq 100 stocks are above their 50-day SMA. Software stocks
The long-term indicators are still bullish, but I am seeing short-term deterioration under the surface. This is especially pronounced outside of large-cap tech (XLK, QQQ, MAGS, SOXX). SPY and QQQ are up over the last two months
The weight of the evidence remains bullish for stocks. SPY and QQQ hit new highs and continue to lead the market. The S&P 500 EW ETF (RSP) and Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) did not exceed their spring highs and continue to lag. Large-caps and large-cap techs are
Nvidia (NVDA) released blowout results yet again and surged some 6.5% higher in after hours trading. This move is stoking the large-cap tech and AI trade. AMD (chips), HPE (data center), DELL (data center) and TSM (chip manufacturing) are all
