Systematic Trading Strategies and Next Level Trading Setups
Current Reports & Videos
The market does not always follow the same script or sequence, but bear markets end with a bottoming process that often goes in stages. First, there is the capitulation phase, which suggests that selling pressure reached extremes and a bottom
Chartists can also use the 200-day SMA and the direction of the 200-day SMA to compare performance. ETFs trading above their rising 200-day SMAs are performing better than those trading below their falling 200-day SMAs. Overall, 23 of the 72
Today’s video starts with the long-term trend and breadth indicators to define the broad market environment. We then turn to the Zweig Breadth Thrust and show the key SPY levels to watch going forward. Stocks are all over the place
After hitting oversold extremes in early April, breadth indicators bounced the last few weeks with the percentage of S&P 500 stocks above their 200-day SMA hitting 36%. This also means that 66% are below their 200-day SMAs and in long-term
Stocks are all over the place in April with a breakdown at the beginning and a Zweig Breadth Thrust towards the end. April price action seems to dominate, but it was the March breakdowns that reversed the long-term uptrends. The
Today’s report starts with the Zweig Breadth Thrust, which failed to trigger for the S&P 500, but remains a possibility for the S&P 1500. Follow through in the coming days is needed to trigger. We then turn to detailed analysis
The weight of the evidence remains bearish, but stocks are currently experiencing an oversold bounce. This video will show upside targets and show what it takes to go from a bear market bounce to a bullish breadth thrust. Attention then
Short-term breadth became oversold on April 4th and stocks surged on April 9th with SPY gaining 10%. SPY then fell 6.5% into Monday and became short-term oversold again. Stock rebounded on Tuesday with SPY gaining 2.6%. Trading is very choppy,
The long-term trends and breadth charts have been net bearish since mid March. SPY, QQQ and the S&P 500 EW ETF (RSP) are in long-term downtrend since early-mid March. Six of the nine breadth indicators were bearish as of mid
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Trading is all about the odds. Trade when the odds are in your favor. Exercise patience and stand aside when the odds are NOT in your favor. Stocks are in a bear market and the vast majority of names are
Today’s report will focus on some commodity-related ETFs for two reasons. First, we are in a bear market for stocks. Second, these ETFs are in uptrends. Despite these uptrends, volatility is increasing in this group as well. There is no
The weight of the evidence remains bearish. Stocks are in the midst of an oversold bounce, but we have yet to see follow through strong enough to trigger a bullish breadth thrust. SPY and QQQ are in long-term downtrends and
Even with the big rebound last week, the vast majority of stocks are below their 200 and 150 day SMAs. Only 23% of S&P 1500 stocks are above their 200-day SMAs (77% below), and only 20% are above their 150-day
The weight of the evidence remains bearish for stocks and the bounce over the last four days is considered an oversold bounce. Our short-term breadth thrust indicators have yet to trigger. Until these indicators trigger, I will consider this a
Panic selling and oversold extremes gave way to a rip higher last week. Stocks are poised to open strong on Monday as the market reacts positively to tariff news. Last week’s bounce is considered an oversold bounce within a bear
With fast-moving markets, this report is vulnerable to self-destruction within 5 days. The bond vigilantes sent a message as long-term yields surged and bonds plunged. Unless reversed, these developments are negative for stocks, especially rate sensitive stocks.
The analysis mode remains macro because the weight of the evidence is still bearish for stocks. Moreover, the markets are unhinged with stocks, commodities, currencies and Treasury bonds fluctuating wildly. Chaos makes chart analysis exceptionally difficult. Perhaps there is opportunity
This market regime report weighs the evidence to determine the state of the stock market. Are we in a bull market or bear market? We start with the long-term trends for three major index ETFs (SPY,QQQ,RSP). Attention then turns to
Everything, well, almost everything, fell the last four trading days. This includes the gold and US Treasury Bonds. The Dollar was hit hard, which means other currencies gained. Stocks, industrial metals, oil, crypto and foreign stocks were all down the