Systematic Trading Strategies and Next Level Trading Setups
The markets turned volatile this week as stocks, bonds and gold fell. Oil and the Dollar surged. Bonds did not offer their usual safe-haven, but money moved into agriculture. It is not clear if this was a safe-haven move, but agriculture
The TBond ETF is testing its breakout zone. Gold and Copper Miners ETFs formed triangles after new highs. Oil futures are in backwardation. Symbols: $IEF, $GLD, $SLV, $GDX, $SIL, $CPER, $DBB, $SRUUF, $URA, $COPX, $XME, $WTIC, $USO, $USL, $IBIT
Today’s report features stocks from groups that have been leading since the broadening began in late November. These include an aluminum leader, a defense trade, a big pharmaceutical and a DIY leader. Symbols: $AA $CAE $ABBV $LOW
The market profile was defensive before the war, and remains defensive. Healthcare, Staples, Utilities, Defense and Infrastructure are in, while Tech, Consumer Discretionary and Finance are out $SPY, $QQQ, $IEF, $WTIC, $UUP, $MAGS, $AIQ, $XLK, $KBWB, $ITB, XHB
Mag 7 stocks powered the market higher from April to October, but sputtered since November with three breaking down. Four are still in long-term uptrends. Today’s report starts with the laggards and then turn to Apple. $MSFT, $AMZN, $META, $AAPL
Mag 7 stocks account for 33% of SPY and 41% of QQQ. The trouble starts when/if these leaders break down. Three broke down, but four of the seven are holding up. This report covers $GOOGL, $NVDA and $TSLA.
The Treasury bond ETFs got big breakouts in mid February and these breakouts are holding. Copper and Base Metals are also active with small wedge breakouts. Symbols covered: $IEF, $GLD, $SLV, $GDX, $SIL, $CPER, $DBB, $SRUUF, $URA, $IBIT
The Industrials SPDR hit new highs this month, making it a leading sector. Healthcare is not far behind with new highs in January. Today’s report features two stocks from these sectors. Symbols: $LLY, $IDXX, $GD, $ROK
There are extraordinary splits within the stock market, but I do not see evidence of a bear market. Software, cloud, fintech and cybersecurity were hammered over… Symbols: $SPY, $QQQ, $MAGS, $XLK, $XLV, $XLP, $XLU, $XLY, $IHI, $XHE, $IBB, $XBI, $ARKG
The market profile is clearly defensive in 2026, but QQQ has yet to break and Nasdaq 100 breadth has yet to turn bearish. Today’s report will rank the equal-weight sectors to separate the leaders from the laggards and identify the long-term trends. $QQQ $NDXA200R
Precious and industrial metals continue to lead in 2026. Gold has a bullish consolidation working as silver hits a key retracement. Copper, base metals and uranium are also setting up. $IEF, $GLD, $SLV, $GDX, $SIL, $CPER, $COPX $DBB, $SRUUF, $URA, $IBIT
The evidence remains bullish for stocks, but there are some sizable pockets of weakness and individual stock volatility is up as the market reacts to AI threats and earnings. Today’s report features Alphabet $GOOGL, Telsa $TSLA and Edwards Lifesciences $EW
The stock market remains in bull mode, but there are more signs of risk aversion and the market profile favors defensive groups $SPY, $IWM, $MAGS, $XLK, $QQQ, $TLT, $IYR $XLU, $XHE, $IHI
The Trend Trio150 is a trend-following indicator that aggregates signals in three trend-following indicators. It uses the principle of confirmation by requiring at least two trend signals to turn bullish or bearish. This also means it
The dominoes continue to fall within the large-cap tech universe as QQQ breaks a benchmark low. Weakness is spreading into the broader market as finance (XLF) plunges and SPY tests first support. Meanwhile, money is moving into safe-haven bonds and defensive utilities. $SPY $RSP $QQQ $MAGS $XLK $XLF $XLU $IEF
Precious and industrial metals continue to lead in 2026, but gold and silver turned very volatile the last few weeks. Meanwhile, copper and base metals are simply consolidating. Symbols covered: $IEF, $GLD, $SLV, $GDX, $SIL, $CPER, $DBB, $COPX, $SRUUF, $URA and $IBIT.
Stocks remain in bull mode with the broadening trade dominating. Hard assets are in, and soft things are out. Today’s report covers DR Horton $DHI, Heico $HEI and Atmos Energy $ATO
The stock market remains in bull mode with the broadening trade working. There are setups in finance, utilities and defense, and uptrends in housing. Symbols covered: $RSP, $IWM, $ITB, $XHB, $IDGT, $XLF, $XLY, $XLU, $ITA, $ARKG, $IHI, $ARKX
Money is moving out of Nasdaq 100 stocks and into more mundane parts of the stock market. It is not just a few large-caps in QQQ. We are seeing weakness throughout as the Nasdaq 100 Equal-Weight ETF (QQEW) formed and confirmed
Silver is out of control and ripe for a volatile correction. Gold and Gold Miners and other metals are also ripe. Bonds are breaking down. Symbols covered: $IEF, $GLD, $SLV, $GDX, $SIL, $CPER, $DBB, $COPX, $SRUUF, $URA and $IBIT.
The weight of the evidence remains bullish for stocks, but areas of the market are under extreme pressure (software, cybersecurity, cloud, fintech, crypto). TransMedics $TMDX, HCA Healthcare $HCA and M/I Homes $MHO
There is no change to our weight of the evidence chart. SPY hit a new high last week and is trading near this high. Names hitting new highs are on strong uptrends. Some 65% of S&P 500 stocks
The Finance SPDR was hit hard the last few weeks, but remains in an uptrend overall. In fact, the ETF is oversold within this uptrend and oversold conditions present traders with opportunities
Precious metals continue to lead as gold, silver and their respective miners race to the moon. Since November, the Silver ETF (SLV) is up 140%…Symbols covered: IEF, GLD, SLV, GDX, SIL, CPER, DBB, , SRUUF, URA. IBIT.