Systematic Strategies and Next Level Technical Analysis

Tech ETFs Follow thru on Prior Breakouts – Telecom and Electricity Spring to Life

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Oversold Conditions Create Breadth Thrust Setups – %Above 50-Day and Zweig

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There was a lot of selling pressure in September as downside participation hit an extreme. Selling pressure was concentrated in the Equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP), Small-caps (IJR) and Mid-caps (IJH). These oversold extremes could give way to an about face and bull stampede. It hasn’t happen yet, but this possibility should be on our radar as we enter the fourth quarter. $SPY $NYA $SPXA50R $SPXADP

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Rotation Investor SPX500 – Ranking Table

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This page covers the ranking table for the rotation strategy trading S&P 500 stocks (RO-Investor-SPX). The ranking table includes the sector and industry for sorting to find specific groups (housing, semiconductor). Table indicators include the Momentum Rank, Trend Filter (strong/not), Broad Breadth Model (bull/bear), the SPX momentum indicator and the 5-day change in momentum. The default sort puts the strongest stocks at the top and each stock includes a SharpChart link.

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Rotation Investor NDX100 – Signals & Portfolio

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This page covers the signals and portfolio for the rotation strategy trading Nasdaq 100 stocks (RO-Investor-NDX). The strategy starts with our stock market breadth model to define the broad market environment. There is a table showing the current portfolio, gain/loss and new entry/exit signals. Two sidebars make it easy to compare the current ranking with the prior week’s ranking, and see which stocks made the cut. A second table shows the most recent closed positions with their gain/loss and bars traded.

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Rotation Investor SPX500 – Signals & Portfolio

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This page covers the signals and portfolio for the rotation strategy trading S&P 500 stocks (RO-Investor-SPX). The strategy starts with our stock market breadth model to define the broad market environment. There is a table showing the current portfolio, gain/loss and new entry/exit signals. Two sidebars make it easy to compare the current ranking with the prior week’s ranking, and see which stocks made the cut. A second table shows the most recent closed positions with their gain/loss and bars traded.

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Rotation Investor ETF – Signals and Portfolio

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This page covers the signals and portfolio for the rotation strategy trading ETFs (RO-Investor-ETF). The strategy starts with our stock market breadth model to define ETF eligibility. There is a table showing the current portfolio, gain/loss and new entry/exit signals. Two sidebars make it easy to compare the current ranking with the prior week’s ranking, and see which ETFs made the cut. A second table shows the most recent closed positions with their gain/loss and bars traded.

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Trend Trio Signals & Momentum Scores: ETF Master List (250+ ETFs)

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This page tracks Trend Trio signals and momentum ranking for over 250 ETFs. Users can identify new trend signals, track existing signals and see the percentage change. Sortable columns make it easy to filter for uptrends and then sort by momentum to rank trend strength. The table includes links to a StockCharts chart with corresponding indicators.

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Rotation Investor NDX100 – Ranking Table

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This page covers the ranking table for the rotation strategy trading Nasdaq 100 stocks (RO-Investor-NDX). The ranking table includes the sector and industry for sorting to find specific groups (software, semiconductor). Table indicators include the Momentum Rank, PPO Trend (up/down), Broad Breadth Model (bull/bear), the NDX momentum indicator and the 5-day change in momentum. The default sort puts the strongest stocks at the top and each stock includes a SharpChart link.

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Rotation Investor ETF – Ranking Table

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This page covers the ranking table for the rotation strategy trading ETFs (RO-Investor-ETF). The ranking table shows the ETF universe with a sortable prefix, which makes it easy to find specific groups (tech ETFs, commodity ETFs). Table indicators include the Momentum Rank, Trend Trio (up/down), Broad Breadth Model (bull/bear), the momentum indicator and the 5-day change in momentum. The default sort puts the strongest ETFs at the top and each ETF includes a SharpChart link.

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Alphabet/Amazon Hit Moment of Truth – Microsoft and Amphenol Go for Breakouts

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The Mag7 ETF (MAGS) is leading the market since late July with a 15% gain, a triangle breakout and a new high in late September. Six of the seven stocks are above their rising 200-day SMAs with two testing this key level (Alphabet and Amazon). Tesla is the only one in a clear downtrend. Even though Alphabet and Amazon are lagging, both are setting up bullish as they correct within their uptrends. This report also covers Microsoft and Amphenol, a connectivity stock. $AMZN $GOOLG $MSFT $APH

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Healthcare SPDR, Biotechs, Medical Devices, Healthcare Providers Take the Lead

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Healthcare related ETFs are leading the market since June. QQQ and XLK peaked in June, fell into July and recovered with gains into September. Both are still just below their June highs. In the meantime, money moved into healthcare-related ETFs with the Healthcare SPDR and Biotech ETFs gaining over 15% since June. Healthcare is the strongest sector since June and the second strongest sector since May. It is also the fourth biggest sector in the S&P 500 (9.36%). $XLV $IBB $XBI $SBIO $IHI $IHF

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Breadth Deteriorates and Yield Spreads Widen as Rate Shock Reverberates

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SPY and QQQ are holding up well, but the S&P 500 EW ETF took a hit and breadth continued to deteriorate. SPY remains well above its rising 200-day SMA and within 2% of a 52-wk high. RSP, in contrast, fell around 4.5% in September and is within 2% of its 200-day SMA. Both are still in uptrends with RSP at a moment of truth. Breadth continued its deterioration with SPX %Above 200-day SMA falling to

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Macro Headwinds – Only Two Leading Sectors – Another Interpretation for Semis

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The broader market was hit rather hard in September as macro headwinds swirled. These headwinds, however, did not affect QQQ, the tech sector and the healthcare sector. Strength in these two sectors is propping up SPY, which is down a fraction month-to-date (-.19%). It is hard to have a bear market when SPY is above its 200-day and tech is leading. Today’s report will focus on the headwinds, key levels for the leaders and an alternative interpretation of the SMH chart. $SPY $QQQ $XLK $MAGS $AIQ $ARTY $SMH $SOXX $DRAM

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Why are SPY and QQQ Unaffected by the Sharp Deterioration in Breadth?

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The stock market has become a tale of two markets. QQQ is performing well in September and SPY is flat, but several key groups were hit with strong selling pressure because of the violent moves in oil and rates. Despite a serious deterioration in breadth, SPY and QQQ remain immune because they are driven by a handful of large-cap tech-related stocks. $SPY $QQQ $SPXA200R

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Rate and Energy Shock Weigh – Gold Headwinds – Ag and Uranium Set Up

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QQQ and Tech stocks are going it alone as high energy prices and surging Treasury yields weigh on the rest of the market. Oil is up 20% over the last four weeks and the 10-yr yield surged 50 basis points, exceeding 5%. High energy prices and high interest rates are one thing, while an accelerating rate of ascent is another. We have seen an energy and interest rate shock this month. Gold is holding up relatively well, but there are headwinds for precious metals. Copper, base metals and agriculture remain in clear uptrends, while uranium sets up with a bull flag. $UST10Y $UST2Y $USL $UGA $USD $GLD $GDX $SLV $CPER $DBB $DBA $SRUUF

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Semiconductor Equipment & Testing Stocks Correct within Uptrends – 6 Setups

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The Semiconductor ETF (SMH) and the Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) are off to the races again with AMD and Intel (INTC) leading the charge. Today’s report focuses on semiconductor equipment stocks. These are the companies that supply the tools needed to manufacture and test semiconductors. Semiconductor Equipment stocks account for 16.6% of SOXX and 18.5% of SMH. At the end of the chart analysis, I included an AI overview of the industry group and some key stocks. $AMAT $LRCX $ASML $TER $AEHR $SMH $SOXX

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