Rotation Investor ETF – Ranking Table

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Rotation Investor NDX100 – Ranking Table

By Arthur Hill, CMT

This page covers the ranking table for the rotation strategy trading Nasdaq 100 stocks (RO-Investor-NDX). The ranking table includes the sector and industry for sorting to find specific groups (software, semiconductor). Table indicators include the Momentum Rank, PPO Trend (up/down), Broad Breadth Model (bull/bear), the NDX momentum indicator and the 5-day change in momentum. The default sort puts the strongest stocks at the top and each stock includes a SharpChart link.

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Trend Composite Signals for S&P 500 Stocks

By Arthur Hill, CMT

This page shows Trend Composite signals for stocks in the S&P 500. The Trend Composite aggregate trend signals in five trend-following indicators. Recent signals appear at the top of the table. Users can also sort by different columns and single out specific sectors using the search function. Stocks in uptrends are color coded green for quick identification. This table includes the signal date, gain/loss since the signal and a chart link.

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Rotation Investor NDX100 – Signals & Portfolio

By Arthur Hill, CMT

This page covers the signals and portfolio for the rotation strategy trading Nasdaq 100 stocks (RO-Investor-NDX). The strategy starts with our stock market breadth model to define the broad market environment. There is a table showing the current portfolio, gain/loss and new entry/exit signals. Two sidebars make it easy to compare the current ranking with the prior week’s ranking, and see which stocks made the cut. A second table shows the most recent closed positions with their gain/loss and bars traded.

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Rotation Investor SPX500 – Signals & Portfolio

By Arthur Hill, CMT

This page covers the signals and portfolio for the rotation strategy trading S&P 500 stocks (RO-Investor-SPX). The strategy starts with our stock market breadth model to define the broad market environment. There is a table showing the current portfolio, gain/loss and new entry/exit signals. Two sidebars make it easy to compare the current ranking with the prior week’s ranking, and see which stocks made the cut. A second table shows the most recent closed positions with their gain/loss and bars traded.

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Rotation Investor ETF – Signals and Portfolio

By Arthur Hill, CMT

This page covers the signals and portfolio for the rotation strategy trading ETFs (RO-Investor-ETF). The strategy starts with our stock market breadth model to define ETF eligibility. There is a table showing the current portfolio, gain/loss and new entry/exit signals. Two sidebars make it easy to compare the current ranking with the prior week’s ranking, and see which ETFs made the cut. A second table shows the most recent closed positions with their gain/loss and bars traded.

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Rotation Investor SPX500 – Ranking Table

By Arthur Hill, CMT

This page covers the ranking table for the rotation strategy trading S&P 500 stocks (RO-Investor-SPX). The ranking table includes the sector and industry for sorting to find specific groups (housing, semiconductor). Table indicators include the Momentum Rank, Trend Filter (strong/not), Broad Breadth Model (bull/bear), the SPX momentum indicator and the 5-day change in momentum. The default sort puts the strongest stocks at the top and each stock includes a SharpChart link.

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Trend Signals & StochClose Rank for ETFs

By Arthur Hill, CMT

Using a 270 ETF universe, this page covers Trend Composite signals for trend and StochClose values for ranking. Users can identify new trend signals, track existing signals and see the percentage change. Sortable columns make it easy to filter for uptrends and then sort by StochClose to rank trend strength. The table includes links to a StockCharts chart with corresponding indicators.

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Broad Breadth Model – Current Signal

By Arthur Hill, CMT

Updated at the end of every week (usually Saturday mornings), this page shows charts and current signals for the Broad Breadth Model (BBM). The model uses an array of breadth indicators from various indexes for a weight of the evidence approach to assess conditions for the broader stock market (large-caps, mid-caps, small-caps). Stock market conditions are favorable when this model is bullish (positive) and unfavorable when the model is bearish (negative).

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Cracks within Tech – Bonds Outperform Bitcoin – Insurance Names Catch Strong Bid

By Arthur Hill, CMT

The market shows more signs of risk aversion with breakdowns in technology-related ETFs, strength in insurance and bonds, and a downtrend signal in Bitcoin. The Semiconductor ETF is holding up, but the Software ETF and ARK Innovation ETF are breaking down. Money is rotating from

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Gold/Silver Surge from Oversold Levels – Bond/Uranium ETFs Set Up – Bitcoin Lags with Downtrend

By Arthur Hill, CMT

Precious metals continue to lead the pack with the Silver ETF (SLV) sporting the biggest gain over the last three months (+40%). Industrial metals are also outperforming stocks with the Copper ETF (CPER) and DB Base Metals ETF (DBB) up over 10%. QQQ is up a measly 7%. Even bonds are up with TLT gaining 3.65% and

Gold/Silver Surge from Oversold Levels – Bond/Uranium ETFs Set Up – Bitcoin Lags with Downtrend Read More »

S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and S&P 1500 Breadth Models – Yields Spreads – Fed Policy

By Arthur Hill, CMT

The Market Regime page defines the stock market environment: bull or bear market. Three breadth/trend models quantify performance for stocks in the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and S&P 1500. Yield spreads capture credit market conditions, while Treasury yield trends reflect Fed policy.

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Nucor NUE, Danaher DHR, Pfizer PFE, Northrop Grumman NOC, Norfolk Southern NSC and AES

By Arthur Hill, CMT

Nucor (NUE) is steel stock that is part of the Materials SPDR (XLB) and Metals & Mining SPDR (XME). XLB is a lagging sector because of the chemical industry, but XME is a leading group with a 65% year-to-date gain. The DJ US Steel Index ($DJUSST) is also leading with a 24.6% gain this year.

Nucor NUE, Danaher DHR, Pfizer PFE, Northrop Grumman NOC, Norfolk Southern NSC and AES Read More »

Some Warning Signs, but Tech ETFs Still Leading – As are Utes, Industrials, Healthcare

By Arthur Hill, CMT

The weight of the evidence remains bullish for stocks, but there are large pockets of weakness within the market. 56.6% of S&P 500 stocks are above their 200-day SMAs, which means 43.4% are below and in long-term downtrends. Even though this is a rather large swath of the market, the cup

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Rotation Investor NDX100 – Performance Metrics, Returns and Drawdowns

By Arthur Hill, CMT

The table below shows performance metrics for the Rotation Investor Nasdaq 100 Strategy (RO-Investor-NDX) and $NDX buy-and-hold. The strategy handily outperforms buy-and-hold (+18.03% vs +12.97%), and the strategy’s Maximum Drawdown (-21.52%) was less than half that of buy-and-hold

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Rotation Investor SPX500 – Performance Metrics, Returns and Drawdowns

By Arthur Hill, CMT

The table below shows performance metrics for the S&P 500 Rotation Investor Strategy (RO-Investor-SPX) and $SPX buy-and-hold. The strategy outperformed buy-and-hold with a significantly higher Compound Annual Return (CAR): +13.39% vs +7.76% (blue shading). Just as important, the strategy’s Maximum Drawdown

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Rotation Investor ETF – Performance Metrics, Returns and Drawdowns,

By Arthur Hill, CMT

The table below shows performance metrics for the Rotation Investor ETF Strategy (RO-Investor-ETF) and $SPX buy-and-hold. The strategy handily outperforms buy-and-hold (+12.73% vs 7.71%), and the strategy’s Maximum Drawdown (-21.71%) is less than half that of buy-and-hold (-56.40%). The Average Drawdown was

Rotation Investor ETF – Performance Metrics, Returns and Drawdowns, Read More »

QQQ and SPY Trigger Bearish Momentum Signals

By Arthur Hill, CMT

Stocks and ETFs can become overbought and remain overbought during strong uptrends. We see this play out in QQQ as it moved above the upper Bollinger Band (200,2) several times and continued higher. Bollinger Bands (200,2) are two standard

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Defensive Sector Stands Strong as Economically Sensitive Sector Breaks Down

By Arthur Hill, CMT

Stock market performance remains mixed with a high percentage of S&P 500 stocks trading below their 200-day SMAs. This number has yet to exceed 50%, but should be watched because the Consumer Discretionary and Technology sectors show deterioration. Despite a mixed market, the Healthcare sector is rising above the

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Gold, Silver and Bond ETFs Set Up – Meme ETF, Bitcoin and QQQ Correlation

By Arthur Hill, CMT

There are some interesting developments in the alternative ETF universe. Gold, silver and their respective miners corrected within leading uptrends. This means they are setting up bullish. Bonds got clobbered the last six days, but TLT is also setting up bullish as it tests the prior breakout. The Bitcoin ETF hit a six month low to become

Gold, Silver and Bond ETFs Set Up – Meme ETF, Bitcoin and QQQ Correlation Read More »

Stocks – CSX, GILD, HEI, XLP, COST, ETR & XEL

By Arthur Hill, CMT

The weight of the evidence remains bullish for stocks, but there are some sizable pockets of weakness with some 45% of S&P 500 components trading below their 200-day SMAs. This makes it a challenging environment for stock picking.

Stocks – CSX, GILD, HEI, XLP, COST, ETR & XEL Read More »