Systematic Trading Strategies and Next Level Trading Setups

Market-ETF Report – Upswings Hold – Defensive ETFs Lead – Updates for GLD, IBIT, UNG, DBA

Market/ETF Video – Long-term Breadth vs Thrusts – Wedges and Overbought in Downtrends

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The weight of the evidence is mixed, at best for the stock market. Our long-term trend and breadth indicators are bearish, but we did get short-term thrust signals towards the end of April. These signals remain in play so we will update the key levels to watch. Despite a record rebound the last few weeks, the March breakdowns remain and the short-term upswings look like counter-trend bounces. Stocks are also short-term overbought. Strategically, the long-term downtrends and bear market are negative. Tactically, upside could be limited as resistance levels come into play and short-term conditions become overbought.

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Market Regime – Bear Market Bounce – Spreads Narrow – TLT Holds Breakout

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This market regime report weighs the evidence to determine the state of the stock market. Are we in a bull market or bear market? We start with the long-term trends for three major index ETFs (SPY,QQQ,RSP). Attention then turns to breadth indicators to measure the percentage of stocks in uptrends/downtrends and the percentage hitting new highs/lows. These indicators

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Market-ETF Report – Long-term Down + Short-term Overbought = Not Ideal

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The weight of the evidence is mixed, at best for the stock market. Our long-term trend and breadth indicators are bearish, but we did get short-term thrust signals towards the end of April. These signals remain in play so we will update the key levels to watch. Despite a record rebound the last few weeks, the March breakdowns remain and the short-term upswings look

Market-ETF Report – Long-term Down + Short-term Overbought = Not Ideal Read More »

Bottoming Process – Capitulation, Short and Medium Term Thrusts, Regime Change

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The market does not always follow the same script or sequence, but bear markets end with a bottoming process that often goes in stages. First, there is the capitulation phase, which suggests that selling pressure reached extremes and a bottom may be close. There was a capitulation setup in early April. Second, short-term thrust indicators mark a sharp recovery after an

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Rotation Investor Nasdaq 100 – Portfolio, Signals and Rank Table (Premium)

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This page covers signals for the Rotation Investor Strategy for Nasdaq 100 stocks (RO-Investor-NDX). We first cover the NDX Breadth Model for timing. A table then shows the portfolio with a gain/loss column and the new entry/exit signals. The sidebar makes it easy to compare the current ranking with the prior week’s ranking. This page includes a complete ranking table with sortable columns, sector identifiers and rank values.

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ETF-Signals: Trend Momo Profit Target Strategy for Stock ETFs (Premium)

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This page covers signals for the ETF Trend Momentum & Profit Target strategy trading 74 stock-based ETFs. We first cover the Composite Breadth Model for timing. A table then shows the portfolio with a gain/loss column, profit targets and new entry/exit signals. A sidebar shows the current ETF ranking and there is a separate table for closed positions. This page includes a complete ranking table with indicators and sortable columns.

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Rotation Investor S&P 500 – Portfolio, Signals and Rank Table (Premium)

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This page covers signals for the Rotation Investor Strategy S&P 500 stocks (RO-Investor-SPX). We first cover the SPX Breadth Model for timing. A table then shows the portfolio with a gain/loss column and the new entry/exit signals. The sidebar makes it easy to compare the current ranking with the prior week’s ranking. This page includes a complete ranking table with sortable columns, sector identifiers and rank values.

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Rotation Trader S&P 500 – Portfolio, Signals and Rank Table (Premium)

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This page covers signals for the Rotation Trader Strategy for S&P 500 stocks (RO-Trader-SPX). We first cover the SPX Breadth Model for timing. A table then shows the portfolio with a gain/loss column and the new entry/exit signals. The sidebar makes it easy to compare the current ranking with the prior week’s ranking. This page includes a complete ranking table with sortable columns, sector identifiers and rank values.

Rotation Trader S&P 500 – Portfolio, Signals and Rank Table (Premium) Read More »

Rotation Trader Nasdaq 100 – Portfolio, Signals and Rank Table (Premium)

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This page covers signals for the Rotation Trader Strategy for Nasdaq 100 stocks. (RO-Trader-NDX). We first cover the NDX Breadth Model for timing. A table then shows the portfolio with a gain/loss column and the new entry/exit signals. The sidebar makes it easy to compare the current ranking with the prior week’s ranking. This page includes a complete ranking table with sortable columns, sector identifiers and rank values.

Rotation Trader Nasdaq 100 – Portfolio, Signals and Rank Table (Premium) Read More »

Market Timing Models – Weekly Signal Updates for Composite, SPX and NDX Breadth Models

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Updated at the end of every week (usually Saturday mornings), this page shows charts and current signals for the three market timing models. The Composite Breadth Model is a broad-based breadth model, the SPX Breadth Model is geared towards large-caps and the NDX Breadth Model focuses on tech stocks. Traders can use these models to time different market segments and assess market conditions.

Market Timing Models – Weekly Signal Updates for Composite, SPX and NDX Breadth Models Read More »

ETF-Signals: Trend & StochClose Strategy for All Weather ETFs (Premium)

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Using a 270 ETF universe, this page covers Trend Composite signals for trend and StochClose values for ranking. Users can identify new trend signals, track existing signals and see the percentage change. Sortable columns make it easy to filter for uptrends and then sort by StochClose to rank trend strength. The table includes links to a StockCharts chart with corresponding indicators.

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Stock-Signals: S&P 500 Trend Composite Signals

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This page shows Trend Composite signals for stocks in the S&P 500. The Trend Composite aggregate trend signals in five trend-following indicators. Recent signals appear at the top of the table. Users can also sort by different columns and single out specific sectors using the search function. Stocks in uptrends are color coded green for quick identification. This table includes the signal date, gain/loss since the signal and a chart link.

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Trend Trio Signal for ITA – Few Uptrends – GLD Remains Frothy – Software Breaks Out

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Chartists can also use the 200-day SMA and the direction of the 200-day SMA to compare performance. ETFs trading above their rising 200-day SMAs are performing better than those trading below their falling 200-day SMAs. Overall, 23 of the 72 core ETFs are trading above their rising 200-day SMAs.

Trend Trio Signal for ITA – Few Uptrends – GLD Remains Frothy – Software Breaks Out Read More »

Market/ETF Video – Bear Market vs ZBT – SPY/QQQ Resistance – ETFs with Leading Breakouts

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Today’s video starts with the long-term trend and breadth indicators to define the broad market environment. We then turn to the Zweig Breadth Thrust and show the key SPY levels to watch going forward. Stocks are all over the place in April, but a handful of leaders emerged with uptrends, relative strength and breakouts. Elsewhere, the Bitcoin ETF extended on its breakout and GLD is still looking extended.

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Market-ETF Report – ZBT Update – Key SPY/QQQ Levels – XLK Resistance – Breakouts in Play

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Stocks are all over the place in April with a breakdown at the beginning and a Zweig Breadth Thrust towards the end. April price action seems to dominate, but it was the March breakdowns that reversed the long-term uptrends. The weight of the evidence also turned bearish in mid March as long-term breadth indicators also triggered. Currently, the long-term

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Zweig Breadth Thrust Dominates the Headlines – But What about an Exit Strategy?

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The Zweig Breadth Thrust for the S&P 1500 triggered on Thursday as stocks surged last week. In poker terms, this thrust signals an abrupt participation shift as stocks move from folding to all-in within ten days. A bullish thrust signal is only part of the puzzle. How do we know when this signal fails? Today’s report will look at the ZBT signal in the S&P 1500 and offer an exit strategy. Stick around to the end for an offer to access a fully quantified strategy based on the Zweig Breadth Thrust.

Zweig Breadth Thrust Dominates the Headlines – But What about an Exit Strategy? Read More »

Thrust Signals using %Above SMA – Theory, Practice, Reality

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Besides the Zweig Breadth Thrust, chartists can identify bullish thrusts using short-term breadth indicators, such as the percentage of stocks above their 20 and 50 day SMAs (simple moving averages). Breadth thrust signals reflect a sharp turnaround in participation that can foreshadow an extended uptrend. Thrust signals start with a setup that shows very few stocks

Thrust Signals using %Above SMA – Theory, Practice, Reality Read More »

Zweig Breadth Thrust – NYSE Original – Modern Version AD%

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Developed by the late great Marty Zweig, the Zweig Breadth Thrust uses advance-decline data to identify material shifts in participation. This indicator sets up with when the advance-decline data becomes oversold and triggers when there is a sharp broadening in upside participation (advancing stocks). It is a time sensitive indicator that must trigger within a 10 day window.

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Market & ETF Report – Thrust Shortfall – SPY Resistance – Defensive Groups Lead

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Today’s report starts with the Zweig Breadth Thrust, which failed to trigger for the S&P 500, but remains a possibility for the S&P 1500. Follow through in the coming days is needed to trigger. We then turn to detailed analysis of SPY, which is below its falling 200-day SMA and near short-term resistance. Stocks are still broadly out of favor with eight of the eleven sectors

Market & ETF Report – Thrust Shortfall – SPY Resistance – Defensive Groups Lead Read More »

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