SPY Hits Key Moment as Breadth Signal Triggers – Yield Spreads Channel March 2025
SPY is at a moment of truth as breadth deteriorates and stress increases in the credit markets. SPY, QQQ and IWM remain in long-term uptrends, but
Complimentary Analysis
SPY is at a moment of truth as breadth deteriorates and stress increases in the credit markets. SPY, QQQ and IWM remain in long-term uptrends, but
The markets were thrown for a loop in March as geopolitical tensions surged and the macro situation deteriorated. Energy prices shot up and interest rates rose as inflationary pressures increased. Despite these events … Symbols $SPY $QQQ $IWM $DBB
The markets turned volatile this week as stocks, bonds and gold fell. Oil and the Dollar surged. Bonds did not offer their usual safe-haven, but money moved into agriculture. It is not clear if this was a safe-haven move, but agriculture
Mag 7 stocks powered the market higher from April to October, but sputtered since November with three breaking down. Four are still in long-term uptrends. Today’s report starts with the laggards and then turn to Apple. $MSFT, $AMZN, $META, $AAPL
The market profile is clearly defensive in 2026, but QQQ has yet to break and Nasdaq 100 breadth has yet to turn bearish. Today’s report will rank the equal-weight sectors to separate the leaders from the laggards and identify the long-term trends. $QQQ $NDXA200R

The Trend Trio150 is a trend-following indicator that aggregates signals in three trend-following indicators. It uses the principle of confirmation by requiring at least two trend signals to turn bullish or bearish. This also means it
The dominoes continue to fall within the large-cap tech universe as QQQ breaks a benchmark low. Weakness is spreading into the broader market as finance (XLF) plunges and SPY tests first support. Meanwhile, money is moving into safe-haven bonds and defensive utilities. $SPY $RSP $QQQ $MAGS $XLK $XLF $XLU $IEF
Money is moving out of Nasdaq 100 stocks and into more mundane parts of the stock market. It is not just a few large-caps in QQQ. We are seeing weakness throughout as the Nasdaq 100 Equal-Weight ETF (QQEW) formed and confirmed
The Finance SPDR was hit hard the last few weeks, but remains in an uptrend overall. In fact, the ETF is oversold within this uptrend and oversold conditions present traders with opportunities
Chartists interested building a position in a particular industry group ETF should consider this four point plan to find attractive entry points. First, the broad market environment should be bullish (bull market). Second, the name
The bull market broadened in late November and this process continued into 2026. This year we are seeing breakouts in the Home Construction ETF (ITB) as well as new highs in the Retail SPDR (XRT) and Regional Bank ETF (KRE). Small-caps are leading
Despite pockets of weakness, the weight of the evidence is bullish for stocks – and has been bullish for several months. Until the evidence changes, we should be exposed to names in leading groups. It is often a bumpy ride full of uncertainties, but the key
Market conditions tell us when to be invested in stocks and when not to be invested. Chartists can filter the noise and define market conditions using three simple indicators. They are the long-term trend for the S&P 500, the
Looking to get a jump on a breakout? During long-term uptrends, short-term oversold conditions present opportunities to trade in the direction prevailing uptrend, which is the dominant force at work. Today we will show how to identify the long-term uptrend using the Trend Composite and find oversold setups using the Momentum Composite.
Market breadth is not very strong, but it is strong enough to support a bull market. At the very least, key breadth metrics are not net bearish. Today’s Chart Fix shows how to quantify signals using new highs, new lows and the percentage of stocks with golden crosses. We then dissect the breakout in the Homebuilders ETF, which could hold the key to broadening leadership in 2026.
Successful entries are rarely accidents. The best trades come from a repeatable process that starts with long term trend identification, a relative performance assessment and a robust chart setup. Use this three-step framework to filter names, focus on leaders, and time entries with favorable reward to risk ratios.
The stock market moved from offense to defense over the last few weeks. Speculative tech names led the market into October, but defensive names took over in November. Healthcare, consumer staples and gold are holding strong, while the ARK Innovation ETF breaks support and Microsoft
The market shows more signs of risk aversion with breakdowns in technology-related ETFs, strength in insurance and bonds, and a downtrend signal in Bitcoin. The Semiconductor ETF is holding up, but the Software ETF and ARK Innovation ETF are breaking down. Money is rotating from
Stock market performance remains mixed with a high percentage of S&P 500 stocks trading below their 200-day SMAs. This number has yet to exceed 50%, but should be watched because the Consumer Discretionary and Technology sectors show deterioration. Despite a mixed market, the Healthcare sector is rising above the
While there are concerns with broad market breadth and performance outside of the tech sector, the bull market is not over until QQQ sings. In fact, even a correction is unlikely as long as QQQ and Nasdaq 100 breadth remain strong. Today’s report starts with the influence

These are the charts from my interview with Jim Puplava and Financial Sense on Thursday, October 30thy. Overbought conditions can persist in strong uptrends (SPY, QQQ). MAGS is not yet overbought. Plus XLI, Breadth, IEF, Gold, Copper and Bitcoin.
Trading is all about putting the odds in your favor. When picking stocks, we can improve our odds by staying on the right side of the market and focusing on names in leading sectors and industry groups. Today’s report starts with the market
Welcome to the Friday Chart Fix! Price action turned volatile in October with one key sector breaking down and another holding up. This bifurcation within the market is par for the course lately. The key, as always, is to focus on the leaders and ignore the laggards. Finance
Welcome to the Friday Chart Fix! Today’s report starts with the leading uptrend in QQQ. Large-caps tech stocks may seem ripe for a correction, but there are no signs of weakness on the price chart. Even though QQQ and the MAG7 are leading, there is strength in other areas with five healthcare stocks outperforming six of the MAG7. This report concludes with