Broad Breadth Model – Current Signal

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Broad Breadth Model – Methodology, Indicators, Signals & Performance

The broad market environment is vitally important to strategies that trade stocks or equity ETFs. Bull and bear markets, however, are not just defined by the trend for the major indexes, such as the S&P 500. Instead, we must look within the indexes and use breadth indicators to quantify the environment for the majority stocks. We are trading individual stocks and equity ETFs, not the indexes. Analyze accordingly.

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Improve Performance with Smoothing, Filters and a Twist – 200-day Cross for SPY/QQQ

By Arthur Hill, CMT

SPY and QQQ crossed above their 200-day SMAs with big moves on Monday, and held above these long-term moving averages the entire week. In addition, the 5-day SMA moved above the 200-day SMA to reverse the bearish trend signal from mid March. The V-Reversal since late March was extraordinary and SPY seems short-term overbought, but the 5/200 day SMA cross is a bullish signal

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Zweig Breadth Thrust with an Exit Strategy

By Arthur Hill, CMT

Stocks plunged into early April and surged into early May, suggesting that a “V” reversal is in the making. There are two parts to the V reversal. First, there is the V, which is the plunge and the rebound. Second, there is the breakout move that completes the reversal. SPY fulfilled the V part, but

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Thrust Signals using %Above SMA Breadth – Theory, Practice, Reality

By Arthur Hill, CMT

Besides the Zweig Breadth Thrust, chartists can identify bullish thrusts using short-term breadth indicators, such as the percentage of stocks above their 20 and 50 day SMAs (simple moving averages). Breadth thrust signals reflect a sharp turnaround in participation that can foreshadow an extended uptrend. Thrust signals start with a setup that shows very few stocks

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