There are a lot of pullbacks to deal with today. Some pullbacks are shallow, some are deep and some are in between. Often, the bigger the advance, the deeper the pullback or retracement. Despite some big percentage declines, most of the pullbacks are normal in retracement terms (33 to 67 percent). Today’s charts will focus on these pullbacks. We will show ETFs that held up the best, ETFs that already broke out and ETFs that are poised to break out.
Note that a decline is deemed a pullback within a bigger uptrend as long as the bigger trend is up. Typically, this means above the 200-day SMA and with a bullish StochClose signal. We never know how far a pullback will extend or how long it will last. The best we can do is monitor the pullback and look for signs of a reversal. The current pullbacks are two to four weeks old, which puts them in the falling flag category and relatively short-term in nature.
New High, Leading, Extended
XLE, XES, XOP, FCG
Short-Pullback after New High, Still Extended
USO, DBE, DBB, DBA
Flag/Pennant Breakout (8-Mar), New High
RSP, XLF, KRE, KIE, XME
Zigzag Since early November, New High
MDY, IJR
Early Feb Flag Breakout, New High
XLB, XMLP
Mid February Consolidation Breakout, New High
XLI
You can learn more about ATR Trailing stops in this post,
which includes a video and charting option for everyone.
Flag Breakout or Near Breakout, Short of New High
SPY, IWM, XLC, ITB
Mid January Breakout, Modest Follow Thru
REZ, XLRE
Shallow Pullback, 33-50% Retracement, Flag
IPAY, SOXX, HYG
Pullback, ~50-67% Retracement, RSI Oversold
QQQ, XLK
Pullback, 50-67% Retracement, RSI Oversold
HACK, SKYY, FINX, IHI
Sharp Pullback, ~67% Retracement, RSI Oversold
IGV, FDN, PBW, TAN, MJ
Pullback to Rising 200-day, RSI Oversold
XLY, IBB, XBI
Uptrend, Correcting/Consolidating since late January
XLV, IHF, PHO
Mid December Breakout, Breakout Zone Holding
SLV
ETFs from here are lagging over the last few months or in downtrends. Note the gold and Treasury bonds are the weakest of all right now.
Lagging since November: XLP, XLU
Selling Climax, Ripe for a Bounce: TLT, TIP
Downtrend: AGG, LQD, GLD, GDX