Systematic Trading Strategies and Next Level Trading Setups
The market gods smiled upon us in 2024 as stocks advanced throughout the year. 2025 is turning out differently as the major index ETFs reverse their long-term uptrends and two of the three market models turn bearish. As painful as they are, bear markets and corrections are part
Two Models Trigger Bearish – Dealing with Drawdowns – Momentum Anomaly Read More »
This page covers signals for the Rotation Investor Strategy for Nasdaq 100 stocks (RO-Investor-NDX). We first cover the NDX Breadth Model for timing. A table then shows the portfolio with a gain/loss column and the new entry/exit signals. The sidebar makes it easy to compare the current ranking with the prior week’s ranking. This page includes a complete ranking table with sortable columns, sector identifiers and rank values.
Rotation Investor Nasdaq 100 – Portfolio, Signals and Rank Table (Premium) Read More »
This page covers signals for the Rotation Investor Strategy S&P 500 stocks (RO-Investor-SPX). We first cover the SPX Breadth Model for timing. A table then shows the portfolio with a gain/loss column and the new entry/exit signals. The sidebar makes it easy to compare the current ranking with the prior week’s ranking. This page includes a complete ranking table with sortable columns, sector identifiers and rank values.
Rotation Investor S&P 500 – Portfolio, Signals and Rank Table (Premium) Read More »
This page covers signals for the ETF Trend Momentum & Profit Target strategy trading 74 stock-based ETFs. We first cover the Composite Breadth Model for timing. A table then shows the portfolio with a gain/loss column, profit targets and new entry/exit signals. A sidebar shows the current ETF ranking and there is a separate table for closed positions. This page includes a complete ranking table with indicators and sortable columns.
ETF-Signals: Trend Momo Profit Target Strategy for Stock ETFs (Premium) Read More »
Using a 270 ETF universe, this page covers Trend Composite signals for trend and StochClose values for ranking. Users can identify new trend signals, track existing signals and see the percentage change. Sortable columns make it easy to filter for uptrends and then sort by StochClose to rank trend strength. The table includes links to a StockCharts chart with corresponding indicators.
ETF-Signals: Trend & StochClose Strategy for All Weather ETFs (Premium) Read More »
This page covers signals for the Rotation Trader Strategy for S&P 500 stocks (RO-Trader-SPX). We first cover the SPX Breadth Model for timing. A table then shows the portfolio with a gain/loss column and the new entry/exit signals. The sidebar makes it easy to compare the current ranking with the prior week’s ranking. This page includes a complete ranking table with sortable columns, sector identifiers and rank values.
Rotation Trader S&P 500 – Portfolio, Signals and Rank Table (Premium) Read More »
This page covers signals for the Rotation Trader Strategy for Nasdaq 100 stocks. (RO-Trader-NDX). We first cover the NDX Breadth Model for timing. A table then shows the portfolio with a gain/loss column and the new entry/exit signals. The sidebar makes it easy to compare the current ranking with the prior week’s ranking. This page includes a complete ranking table with sortable columns, sector identifiers and rank values.
Rotation Trader Nasdaq 100 – Portfolio, Signals and Rank Table (Premium) Read More »
2024 was a good year, even though it finished with a drawdown in December. The rotation trader strategies put in solid performances, especially RO-Trader-SPX. The rotation investor strategies started off well in November, but took a hit in December as the market fell. Momentum rotation strategies follow the ebb
This report shows performance metrics for the ETF Trend, Momentum and Profit Target strategy trades 74 stock-based ETFs. Trading on a weekly basis, this strategy outperforms buy-and-hold for the S&P 500 with much lower drawdowns. The Composite Breadth Model kept drawdowns in check with timely exits ahead of bear markets. A strong Win Rate and solid gain/loss ratio produced a Profit Factor well above 2.
ETF Trend Momo Profit Target Strategy – Performance Updates Read More »
This report covers the SPX Breadth Model and NDX Breadth Model. As the names suggest, they provide market timing signals for their respective rotation strategies. We show recent signals on the charts, analyze the long-term performance metrics and provide a signal breakdown. This page concludes with an explanation of the models and several chart examples with breadth indicators.
SPX and NDX Breadth Models – Chart Signals, Performance Metrics and Methodology Read More »
Market timing is an integral part of any strategy that trades or invests in stocks. The Composite Breadth Model uses breadth indicator based on small-caps, mid-caps and large-caps. It is a broad-based breadth model that extends beyond large-caps and tech stocks. We start with the chart signals and then show the performance metrics. This page concludes with an explanation of the model and several chart examples.
Composite Breadth Model – Chart Signals, Performance Metrics and Methodology Read More »
Not all pullbacks result in long-term trend changes and not all drawdowns lead to bear markets. The odds favor the bulls as long as the bull market signal is valid and drawdowns provide opportunities during bull markets. Today’s report will analyze the drawdowns in the Rotation Investor strategies. We will show the Maximum Drawdown, Median Drawdown and a drawdown range for putting money to work.
Beginning in the Midst of a Bull Run and Dealing with Drawdowns Read More »
Momentum-Rotation strategies get their edge from upward momentum. More often than not, this means there will be entry signals for stocks that seem overbought. Not all overbought stocks continue higher and some correct hard after becoming overbought. Can we improve performance by avoiding stocks that are extremely overbought? Today’s report will discuss the recency bias, show some overbought examples and puts an overbought filter to the test.
It is important to understand the ebb and flow of the equity curve when trading a strategy. How long is the strategy flat or down? How often do we see strong momentum runs? How often does the strategy experience double-digit drawdowns? How can we take advantage of drawdown? We will answer these questions and more.
Understanding Equity Curve Performance and Setting Realistic Expectation (Premium) Read More »
Buying stocks that seem overbought is difficult, but this is often required when trading a momentum-rotation strategy. By design, these strategies buy the strongest stocks and many seem “overbought”. Momentum is all about buying high and selling higher. This report will test the original Rotation Investor strategies with the addition of an overbought filter. In other words, we will avoid stocks that are overbought. Does this filter help or hurt performance?
Do Overbought Filters Improve Performance for Momentum Rotation Strategies? (Premium) Read More »
This report explains the difference between the Rotation Trader strategies and the Rotation Investor Strategies. Key difference include: market timing models, trend indicators, rank indicators, positions, holding times and profit factors. In short, RO-Trader trades more often, has short holding periods and generates smaller average profits. RO-Investor trades less often, has longer holding periods and generates larger average profits.
Rotation Investor or Rotation Trader? Comparing and Contrasting (Premium) Read More »
Everyone has a trading plan until they go into drawdown. The Dual Momentum Rotation Strategies are off to a great start here in 2024. This is the easy part. Don’t forget that RISK is always lurking in the equity markets and this is something we must always take into account. There is no reward without risk.
SystemTrader – How to Start Trading a Strategy – Good Times and Bad (Premium) Read More »
The Dual Momentum Rotation Strategies started out with a bang this year and produced big gains in the first three months. Market action then turned mixed with tech-related stocks falling sharply. The Nasdaq 100 strategy moved into a deep drawdown the last five weeks (NDX update here). The S&P 500 strategy is holding up well because
This reports covers breadth indicators to identify three market stages. First, we have the bottoming stage when we see signs of capitulation and a bullish thrust off the lows. Second, we have the trend stage that identifies a bull market for stocks. Third, we have the pullback stage within a bull market.
This report will show how to find bullish setup zones for trading pullbacks within the bigger uptrend. This is trading in the direction of the bigger uptrend. We are only focused on uptrends and bullish setups. In addition, there are two requirements: the broad market trend must be up and the stock must be
