Systematic Strategies (Explanations and Performance Updates)

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Rotation Investor SPX500 – Performance Metrics, Returns and Drawdowns

The table below shows performance metrics for the S&P 500 Rotation Investor Strategy (RO-Investor-SPX) and $SPX buy-and-hold. The strategy outperformed buy-and-hold with a significantly higher Compound Annual Return (CAR): +13.39% vs +7.76% (blue shading). Just as important, the strategy’s Maximum

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Rotation Investor ETF – Performance Metrics, Returns and Drawdowns,

The table below shows performance metrics for the Rotation Investor ETF Strategy (RO-Investor-ETF) and $SPX buy-and-hold. The strategy handily outperforms buy-and-hold (+12.73% vs 7.71%), and the strategy’s Maximum Drawdown (-21.71%) is less than half that of buy-and-hold (-56.40%). The Average

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Market Timing Models and Indicators

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Broad Breadth Model – Current Signal

Updated at the end of every week (usually Saturday mornings), this page shows charts and current signals for the Broad Breadth Model (BBM). The model uses an array of breadth indicators from various indexes for a weight of the evidence approach to assess conditions for the broader stock market (large-caps, mid-caps, small-caps). Stock market conditions are favorable when this model is bullish (positive) and unfavorable when the model is bearish (negative).

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Broad Breadth Model – Methodology, Indicators, Signals & Performance

The broad market environment is vitally important to strategies that trade stocks or equity ETFs. Bull and bear markets, however, are not just defined by the trend for the major indexes, such as the S&P 500. Instead, we must look within the indexes and use breadth indicators to quantify the environment for the majority stocks. We are trading individual stocks and equity ETFs, not the indexes. Analyze accordingly.

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Education Strategy

Thrust Signals using %Above SMA Breadth – Theory, Practice, Reality

Besides the Zweig Breadth Thrust, chartists can identify bullish thrusts using short-term breadth indicators, such as the percentage of stocks above their 20 and 50 day SMAs (simple moving averages). Breadth thrust signals reflect a sharp turnaround in participation that can foreshadow an extended uptrend. Thrust signals start with a setup that shows very few stocks

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Education Strategy

Zweig Breadth Thrust with an Exit Strategy

Stocks plunged into early April and surged into early May, suggesting that a “V” reversal is in the making. There are two parts to the V reversal. First, there is the V, which is the plunge and the rebound. Second, there is the breakout move that completes the reversal. SPY fulfilled the V part, but

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