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The Trend Composite is a trend indicator that aggregate signals in five indicators. Bollinger Bands (125,1), Keltner Channels (125,2), 5-day Rate-of-Change of 125-day SMA, StochClose (125,5) and CCI-Close (125). Click on any column heading to sort. This table is updated every Friday before the open.
Stock-Signals: S&P 500 Trend Composite Signals Read More »
Trends often start with outsized moves. But how do we measure and identify such moves? Chartists can measure moves in Average True Range (ATR) terms using the ATR Trailing Stop SAR indicator (ATR-SAR). ATR is a volatility indicator developed by Welles Wilder.
Using Outsized Moves to Identify Trend Reversals – Checking in on ITB and SOXX Read More »
I am mostly a technical analyst and trading system developer, but I also like to understand the companies behind the big business trends. AI is the hottest trend right now and has the potential to be bigger than the Internet. To this end, I am getting up to speed through a variety of sources. Today’s
Internet Boom, Apple’s Run, AI and Nvidia Read More »
Momentum and trend strategies are off to a roaring start here in 2024. More often than not, these strategies buy leading stocks that appear overbought. Buying stocks that appear overbought often goes against our “gut feel”, but overbought conditions reflect strong buying pressure and this is clearly
Momentum strategies performed well in the first quarter of 2024. The S&P 500 Dual Momentum Rotation Strategy gained 24.8% in the first three months and handily outperformed its benchmark. $SPX was up 10.2%. Breaking it down, the strategy was up 7.3% in January, 11.1% in February and 4.7% in March. S&P 500 stocks even outperformed Nasdaq 100 stocks in March.
Stock-Strategy: Dual Momentum Rotation Strategy for S&P 500 Stocks Read More »
Momentum strategies performed well in the first quarter of 2024. The Nasdaq 100 Dual Momentum Rotation Strategy gained 16.8% for the first three months and handily outperformed its benchmark. $NDX was up 8.5%. Breaking it down, the strategy was up 6.1% in January, up 11.9% in February and down 1.6% in March. NDX stocks underperformed the broader market in March.
Stock-Strategy: Dual Momentum Rotation Strategy for Nasdaq 100 Stocks Read More »
The 200-day SMA is perhaps the most widely used long-term moving average. As its name implies, it is a simple indicator that chartists can use for trend-following and momentum strategies. For trend-following, we just need to know
An Indicator to Define the Trend and Quantify Momentum Read More »
The 20+ Yr Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) failed again at the falling 40-week SMA and looks poised to resume its bigger downtrend. Keep in mind that bonds and yields move in the opposite direction. A resumption of the
20+ Yr Treasury Bond ETF Resumes its Downtrend Read More »
The Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF (XES) is showing strength here in March as it breaks back above its 40-week SMA. More importantly, the long-term trend is up and this week’s breakout argues for a continuation of this uptrend.
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF Resumes its Uptrend Read More »
As its name suggests, the ATR Trailing Stop is normally used to trail a stop-loss for a long position. It can also be used to identify an outsized decline that could reverse an uptrend. Today’s example will show how to apply the ATR Trailing Stop on
Using the ATR Trailing Stop to Manage the Trade and Define the Trend Read More »
Most stocks surged with the broader market in the fourth quarter of 2023. SPY and QQQ extended their advances in 2024, but some stocks did not partake and fell back. Even so, some of these stocks show signs of long-term trend reversals and their declines in
Spotting Tradable Pullbacks after Trend Reversing Surges Read More »
Chartists can improve their odds by focusing on stocks that are in long-term uptrends and showing upside leadership. This is similar to a dual-momentum approach, which was covered last week. Today’s example will use the 40-week SMA to define the trend, a 52-week high
Finding Leaders and Bullish Signals on the Price Chart Read More »
The momentum phenomenon has been a fixture in the US equity markets for decades. There are two types of momentum to consider: absolute momentum and relative momentum. Absolute momentum refers to the underlying trend, up or down
Capturing the Momentum Phenomenon Read More »
Divergences reflect a disconnect between price and the indicator. A bearish divergence forms when price forges a higher high and the indicator fails to confirm this high. In this case, we have the S&P 500 moving higher and fewer stocks
Generals March On, but Fewer Troops are Following (Free) Read More »
Gold is not the most exciting asset at the moment, but it is in a long-term uptrend and it is perhaps the strongest commodity out there. There are also signs that the January decline is ending as RSI hits a momentum support zone and a bullish continuation pattern forms.
Gold is Making Waves Again (Free) Read More »
This week’s analysis will stick with the multiple timeframe approach. Today we are featuring a biotech stock with a channel breakout on the weekly chart and a classic retracement on the daily chart. Moreover, a larger bullish reversal pattern could be forming on the daily chart.
Chartists looking to increase their odds should consider two timeframes for their analysis. The longer timeframe sets the strategic tone, while the shorter timeframe defines the trading tactics
Using Two Timeframes to Increase the Odds – The Strategic Overview – Part 1 (Free) Read More »
Tech stocks were hit with selling pressure to start the year, but many are still in long-term trends and some are nearing support-reversal zones. In particular, Apple (AAPL) fell to a support-reversal zone and I am on alert for a bounce. Let’s investigate.
Apple hits Support-Reversal Zone – What is it and why is it important? (Free) Read More »
StockCharts users can chart the Zweig Breadth Thrust for the S&P 1500 or any other index that has Advance-Decline Percent data. All we have to do its convert the Zweig Breadth Thrust levels to their equivalents using Advance-Decline Percent.
Charting the S&P 1500 Zweig Breadth Thrust using Advance-Decline Percent (Free) Read More »
While there are too many influences to list in one post, this commentary features a dozen books that helped me over the years. These books cover technical analysis, trend-momentum strategies, insights from great traders and the mindset required to stay in the game.
Today’s report features the Zweig Breadth Thrust, which was developed by the late, and great, Marty Zweig. We will show how it works and look at some recent signals. Despite a long history, the indicator is missing something and we will propose a modern day alternative.
A Zweig Breadth Thrust Triggers, but the Indicator is Missing Something (Part 1 – Free) Read More »